A study of preoperative risk factors for early recurrence of HBV-associated small hepatocellular carcinoma based on imaging and clinical test indexes
10.3760/cma.j.cn341190-20230905-00154
- VernacularTitle:影像学特征和临床检验指标对HBV相关小肝癌术后早期复发的危险因素分析
- Author:
Gang YANG
1
;
Yubo ZHANG
;
Wei ZHANG
;
Danyang ZHANG
;
Peng LEI
Author Information
1. 宁夏医科大学研究生院，银川 750004
- Keywords:
Carcinoma,hepatocellular;
Hepatitis B;
Hepatectomy;
Recurrence;
Nomograms;
Forecasting;
Risk factors;
Clinical study
- From:
Chinese Journal of Primary Medicine and Pharmacy
2024;31(5):722-728
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To investigate the predictive values of clinical test indexes and imaging indexes for early postoperative recurrence of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related small hepatocellular carcinoma.Methods:Clinical case data of 163 patients with HBV-related small hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing radical hepatectomy at the Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery in the General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University from January 2017 to August 2021 were retrospectively collected. The patients were categorized into 87 cases in an early recurrence group and 76 cases in a non-early recurrence group according to whether or not they had recurrence within 2 years after surgery. After excluding the covariance of various indicators, independent risk factors for postoperative tumor recurrence were established using univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis. A clinical prediction model was constructed and presented visually in a nomogram diagram, and the predictive ability of the nomogram diagram model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves as well as calibration curves. Cox regression analysis was used to determine the relationship between independent risk factors and time to recurrence.Results:Univariate analysis showed that in the early recurrence group, the number and proportion of patients with preoperative gamma-glutamyl transferase to lymphocyte count ratio (GLR) > 35.79 [41.38% (36/87)], tumor multiplicity [25.29% (22/87)], the presence of peritumoral edema [45.98% (40/87)], intratumoral small arterial clusters [50.58% (44/87)], and age ≥ 60 years [74.71% (65/87)] were significantly higher than those in the non-early recurrence group ( χ2 = 5.73, 3.78, 3.97, 3.73, 3.75, all P < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that GLR > 35.79 and the presence of peritumoral edema were independent risk factors for early recurrence after radical hepatectomy of HBV-related small hepatocellular carcinomas [odds ratio ( OR) = 2.22, 1.99, 95% confidence interval ( CI): 1.10-4.59, 1.00-3.99, P < 0.05]. The nomogram diagram prediction model was established, with a C index of 0.70 (95% CI: 0.60-0.79) in the receiver operating characteristic curve and a Brier Score of 0.22 in the calibration curve, which demonstrated good model differentiation and accuracy. Cox regression analysis showed that a GLR > 35.79 and the presence of peritumoral edema were risk factors affecting the time to recurrence after resection of HBV-associated small hepatocellular carcinomas. Conclusion:GLR > 35.79 and the presence of peritumoral edema are independent risk factors for early recurrence after radical hepatectomy of HBV-related small hepatocellular carcinoma. The constructed clinical prediction model has good predictive efficacy.
