Epidemiological characteristics and spatio-temporal aggregation of scrub typhus in Hangzhou City from 2010 to 2022
10.3760/cma.j.cn231583-20230928-00073
- VernacularTitle:2010 - 2022年杭州市恙虫病流行特征和时空聚集性分析
- Author:
Zhou SUN
1
;
Yi WANG
;
Qingjun KAO
;
Renjie HUANG
;
Xiaobin REN
Author Information
1. 杭州市疾病预防控制中心(杭州市卫生监督所)传染病防制所,杭州 310021
- Keywords:
Scrub typhus;
Epidemiological characteristics;
Spatio-temporal aggregation
- From:
Chinese Journal of Endemiology
2024;43(7):554-558
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To study the epidemic characteristics and spatio-temporal distribution of scrub typhus in Hangzhou City.Methods:The case information of scrub typhus in Hangzhou City from 2010 to 2022 was collected through the Infectious Disease Surveillance and Reporting Information System of China Disease Prevention and Control Information System, and the incidence, time, population, and regional distribution characteristics of scrub typhus were analyzed. With street (township) as the unit, ArcGIS 10.2 software was used for global and local spatial autocorrelation analysis, SaTScan 10.1.2 software was used for spatio-temporal aggregation scanning.Results:From 2010 to 2022, a total of 362 cases were reported in Hangzhou City, with a median annual incidence of 0.260/100 000. The incidence showed a fluctuating upward trend year by year ( Z = 3.84, P < 0.001). The highest incidence was 0.528/100 000 in 2021 and the lowest incidence was 0.013/100 000 in 2010. The median time interval between onset and diagnosis was 7 days, ranging from 1 to 28 days. The peak incidence period was from September to November (52.49%, 190/362). There were 149 males (41.16%, 149/362) and 213 females (58.84%, 213/362). The age group of 60 - 69 years old had the highest number of cases, accounting for 32.32% (117/362). The majority of occupations were farmers (77.35%, 280/362). The top 3 regions with reported cases were Chun'an County (257 cases, 70.99%), Lin'an District (33 cases, 9.12%), and Jiande City (19 cases, 5.25%). Global spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that there was spatial aggregation in the incidence of scrub typhus in other years except 2015 - 2018 ( P < 0.05). Local spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that, except for 2015 and 2016, the incidence of scrub typhus in other years occurred in hot spots (high-high), which were all located in Chun'an County. The spatio-temporal aggregation analysis showed that the class Ⅰ cluster was centered around Jinfeng Township in Chun'an County, with a clustering period from December 2018 to November 2021, involving 22 townships. The class Ⅱ cluster was centered around Wanshi Township in Fuyang District, with a clustering period from December 2021 to November 2022, involving 14 streets (townships). Both of the two clusters were mountainous agricultural areas, with reported cases accounting for 38.67% (140/362). Conclusions:In Hangzhou City, the majority of scrub typhus cases are elderly female farmers, with a high incidence season in autumn, mainly occurring in agricultural areas in mountainous areas. It is recommended to carry out comprehensive prevention and control measures such as health education and personal protection for key populations, seasons and regions.