Risk factors and risk prediction model of retinal detachment in myopic pa-tients
10.13389/j.cnki.rao.2024.0107
- VernacularTitle:近视患者视网膜脱离的危险因素及风险预测模型
- Author:
Zuxu YUAN
1
;
Suhua LI
;
Yan ZHANG
;
Aixin LIU
;
Guangxiu HE
Author Information
1. 473000 河南省南阳市,南阳市中心医院眼科
- Keywords:
retinal detachment;
myopia;
risk factors;
risk prediction model
- From:
Recent Advances in Ophthalmology
2024;44(7):554-557
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective To investigate the risk factors and risk prediction model of retinal detachment in patients with myopia.Methods The clinical data of myopic patients treated in our hospital from January 2021 to December 2023 were retrospectively analyzed.A total of 128 patients(128 eyes)with myopic retinal detachment who met the requirements were selected as the retinal detachment group,and 128 myopic patients(128 eyes)without retinal detachment were selected as the control group.The clinical data of patients in the two groups were collected and compared,including age,gender,di-opter,education level,affected side,whether to bear load or not,whether to vibrate or not,whether to have cataract or not,whether to have asthenopia or not,blood pressure,history of diabetes,history of ocular trauma,history of ophthal-mic surgery,and retinal thickness.Risk factors related to retinal detachment in myopia were determined through the multi-variate logistic regression analysis,and based on these factors,the risk prediction model was established.The receiver op-erating characteristic(ROC)curve was used to evaluate the predictive value of the model.Results The age,diopter,systolic blood pressure,cataract incidence,asthenopia incidence,ocular trauma and ophthalmic surgery rates of myopic patients in the retinal detachment group were significantly higher than those in the control group(all P＜0.05).The retinal thickness and choroidal thickness of myopic patients in the retinal detachment group were significantly smaller than those in the control group(both P＜0.05).The risk factors for retinal detachment in myopic patients were older age,higher diopter(absolute value),accompanied by ocular diseases or discomfort such as cataract,asthenopia and ocular trauma,thinner choroid,and thinner retina(all OR＞1,P＜0.05).The areas under the ROC curve(0.95CI)for predication of retinal de-tachment based on age,ocular disease or discomfort,diopter,choroidal thickness,and retinal thickness alone and their combination were 0.668(0.382-0.936),0.645,0.676(0.407-0.942),0.731(0.503-0.933),0.745(0.499-0.983),and 0.844(0.692-0.983),respectively.The area under the curve(0.844),sensitivity,specificity,and accuracy of the prediction model based on the combination of the five indicators were higher,indicating that this model had a better predic-tion effect.Conclusion The risk factors for retinal detachment in myopic patients are older age,higher diopter(abso-lute value),accompanied by ocular diseases or discomfort such as cataract,asthenopia and ocular trauma,thinner cho-roid,and thinner retina.The risk prediction model constructed based on these factors has a high evaluation effect.
