Predictive value of inflammatory and nutritional indices for postoperative survival of elderly patients with esophageal squamous carcinoma
10.3760/cma.j.cn115610-20240711-00332
- VernacularTitle:炎症及营养指标对老年食管鳞癌患者术后生存的预测价值
- Author:
Yuxia ZHANG
1
;
Qin XIE
;
Sirui WEI
;
Longlin JIANG
;
Li XIE
;
Yongtao HAN
;
Yan MIAO
Author Information
1. 四川省肿瘤临床医学研究中心 四川省肿瘤医院·研究所 四川省癌症防治中心 电子科技大学附属肿瘤医院胸外科，成都 610041
- Keywords:
Esophageal neoplasms;
Elderly;
Prognostic nutritional index;
Inflammatory index;
Systemic immune-inflammation index;
Systemic inflammation response index
- From:
Chinese Journal of Digestive Surgery
2024;23(9):1200-1208
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To investigate the predictive value of inflammatory and nutritional indices for postoperative survival of elderly patients with esophageal squamous carcinoma.Methods:The retrospective cohort study was conducted. The clinicopathological data of 130 elderly patients with esophageal squamous carcinoma who were admitted to Sichuan Cancer Hospital from January 2019 to April 2020 were collected. There were 102 males and 28 females, aged (70±4)years. Mea-surement data with normal distribution were represented as Mean± SD. Measurement data with skewed distribution were represented as M( Q1, Q3) or M(range). Count data were expressed as absolute numbers, and comparison between groups was conducted using the chi-square test. Receiver opera-ting characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted. The area under the curve (AUC) and optimal cut-off values were calculated. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot survival curves, and the Log-rank test was used for survival analysis. The COX proportional hazard regression model was used for univariate and multivariate analyses. Results:(1) Postoperative survival of elderly patients with esophageal squamous carcinoma predicted by inflammatory and multitional indices. Results of ROC curves analysis showed that the best cut-off values of preoperative systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), systemic inflammation response index (SIRI), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and prognostic nutrition index (PNI) for predicting postoperative survival of elderly patients with esophageal squamous carcinoma were 470.71×10 9/L, 1.11, 2.07, 136.24, and 46.28, respectively. (2) Risk factors analysis of postoperative survival of elderly patients with esophageal squamous carcinoma. Results of multivariate analysis showed that preoperative SII ≥470.71×10 9/L, preoperative SIRI ≥1.11, preoperative PNI<46.28, score of preoperative patient-generated subjective global assessment (PG-SGA) ≥4, postoperative pathological stage Ⅳ and post-operative complications were independent risk factors for the overall survival time of elderly patients with esophageal squamous carcinoma ( hazard ratio=3.30, 2.50, 0.36, 4.86, 1.57, 1.97, 95% confidence interval as 1.10?9.88, 1.07?5.88, 0.16?0.81, 1.13?20.87, 1.20?2.06, 1.02?3.82, P<0.05). (3) Follow-up. All the 130 patients were followed up for 39(range, 1?60)months. Of the 130 patients, 81 cases survived, 49 cases died, and the median overall survival time was not reached. The 1- and 3-year survival rates of the 130 patients were 83.85% and 54.62%, respectively. ① The median overall survival time was 25(0,43)months for patients with SII ≥470.71×10 9/L, and unreached for patients with SII <470.71×10 9/L, showing a significant difference between them ( χ2=60.59, P<0.05). ② The median overall survival time was 26(0,44)months for patients with SIRI ≥1.11, and unreached for patients with SIRI <1.11, showing a significant difference between them ( χ2=45.57, P<0.05). ③ The median overall survival time was unreached for patients with PNI ≥46.28, and 38(0,47)months for patients with PNI <46.28, showing a significant difference between them ( χ2=12.53, P<0.05). ④ The median overall survival time was unreached for patients with PG-SGA <4 and ≥4, showing a signifi-cant difference between them ( χ2=14.41, P<0.05). ⑤ The median overall survival time was 25(1,47)months for patients in pathological stage Ⅲ, 12(1,32)months for patients in stage Ⅳ, and unreached for patients in stage 0, Ⅰ, Ⅱ, respectively, showing a significant difference among them ( χ2=58.75, P<0.05). ⑥ The median overall survival time was 33(1,47)months for patients with postoperative complication, and unreached for patients without postoperative complication, showing a significant difference between them ( χ2=14.27, P<0.05). Conclusions:Preoperative SII, SIRI and PNI have good predictive value for postoperative survival in elderly patients with esophageal squamous carcinoma. Preoperative SII ≥470.71×10 9/L, preoperative SIRI ≥1.11, preoperative PNI <46.28, score of preoperative PG-SGA ≥4, postoperative pathological stage Ⅳ, and postoperative complications are independent risk factors for the overall survival time of elderly patients with esophageal squamous carcinoma. Patients with preoperative SII <470.71×10 9/L, preoperative SIRI <1.11, preoperative PNI >46.28, score of preoperative PG-SGA <4, postoperative pathological stage 0, Ⅰ, Ⅱ, and non post-operative complications have better survival.
