Construction of a predictive model for lateral lymph node metastasis in patients with rectal cancer below peritoneal reflection
10.3969/j.issn.1673-4130.2024.22.009
- VernacularTitle:腹膜返折以下直肠癌患者侧方淋巴结转移情况预测模型的构建
- Author:
Jin LYU
1
;
Chengyu LYU
;
Mu XU
;
Xiaojun XU
;
Zhi WANG
;
Heming WANG
Author Information
1. 南京市第一医院普外科,江苏南京 210006
- Keywords:
rectal cancer below peritoneal reflection;
lateral lymph node metastasis;
pathological fea-tures;
transforming growth factor
- From:
International Journal of Laboratory Medicine
2024;45(22):2732-2736,2742
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective To explore the lateral lymph node metastasis in patients with rectal cancer below peritoneal reflection and construct predictive models.Methods A total of 102 patients with rectal cancer be-low peritoneal reflection admitted in the hospital from January 2020 to April 2023 were selected as the re-search objects.According to the existence of lateral lymph node metastasis(LLNM),the patients were divided into metastatic group(n=31)and non-metastatic group(n=71).The general clinical data,tumor pathologi-cal features,laboratory indexes[carcinoembryonic antigen(CEA).carbohydrate antigen 199(CA199),neutro-phil/lymphocyte ratio(NLR),platelet/lymphocyte ratio(PLR),transforming growth factor(TGF)-α and TGF-β1]between the two groups were compared.The risk factors of LLNM in patients with rectal cancer be-low peritoneal reflection were screened by Spearman correlation analysis and Logistic regression analysis,and the predictive model was constructed and the efficacy of the model was evaluated.Results The mean maxi-mum tumor diameter,the short diameter of lateral lymph nodes,the proportion of poorly differentiated pa-tients and the proportion of patients with T3-T4 stage in the metastasis group were significantly higher than those in the non-metastasis group(P＜0.05).The average levels of TGF-α,TGF-β1 and NLR in the metasta-sis group were significantly higher than those in the non-metastasis group(P＜0.05).Spearman correlation a-nalysis,univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that poor differentiation,T3-T4 stage,maximum tumor diameter,longer short diameter of lateral lymph nodes,higher levels of TGF-α,TGF-β1 and NLR were independent risk factors for LLNM in patients with rectal cancer below peritoneal reflec-tion.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis showed that the area under the curve(AUC)of the predictive model based on the above risk factors was 0.915(95％CI:0.847-0.984),which had high pre-dictive performance.Conclusion Patients with LLNM and rectal cancer below peritoneal reflection often have longer tumor diameter and lateral lymph node short diameter,and higher levels of TGF-α,TGF-β1 and NLR.Lateral lymph node dissection should be actively carried out for patients with above characteristics,and timely monitoring should be carried out to see if there is still lymph node metastasis after surgery,so as to provide certain clinical basis for improving the judgment of LLNM in rectal cancer below peritoneal reflection.
