Predictive Value of Essen Stroke Risk Score for Recurrence of Stroke in Patients with transient ishemic attack or Non-Cardiogenic Cerebral Infarction
- VernacularTitle:ES RS 评分对短暂性脑缺血发作及非心源性脑梗死患者卒中复发的预测价值
- Author:
Jianmin WANG
1
;
Dongliang ZHOU
;
Liping DUAN
;
Hongwei QIN
;
Zhiwei LI
;
Juan REN
;
Ying XU
;
Ying GUAN
Author Information
1. 复旦大学附属华山医院宝山分院神经内科
- Keywords:
Essen stroke risk score;
Ischemic stroke;
Recurrence
- From:
Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine
2015;(3):346-348
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To evaluate the predictive values of Essen Stroke Risk Score (ESRS) for recurrence of stroke in patients with transient ishemic attack(TIA) or non‐cardiogenic cerebral infarction .Methods:A total of 816 patients with TIA or non‐cardiogenic cerebral infarction were recruited and the incidence of stroke was followed up for one year .The validity of ESRS for predicting recurrence of stroke in all subjects ,TIA patients ,minor stroke subjects and major stroke cases ,was evaluated with receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve .Results:A total of 757 cases completed the 1 year follow‐up .The one‐year recurrence rates of stroke ,in all subjects ,TIA patients ,minor stroke subjects and major stroke cases ,were 12 .95% , 15 .04% 、10 .21% ,13 .88% ,respectively .The area under the curve(AUC) values of ESRS for predicting recurrence of stroke were 0 .601 ,0 .596 ,0 .582 ,0 .611 ,respectively .Conclusions:The validity of ESRS for predicting recurrence rate of stroke was highest in major stroke patients ,while it was the second highest in TIA cases .However ,the validity was lower than expected in minor stroke subjects .