Influencing Factors and Predictive Modeling of the Selection of Infectious Disease Patients'First Choosing Institution
- VernacularTitle:传染病患者首诊医疗机构选择的影响因素分析及预测模型研究
- Author:
Xiaoxiao GU
1
;
Xin TIAN
;
Jiate WEI
;
Youqing XIN
Author Information
1. 首都医科大学 北京 100069
- Keywords:
infectious disease;
first choosing institution;
influencing factors;
predictive model
- From:
Chinese Hospital Management
2024;44(9):32-36
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective To establish a predictive model for digestive and respiratory infectious disease patients'selection of first-entry healthcare institutions and analyze the influencing factors,providing a reference for regional healthcare institution development.Methods The cluster sampling was used to select 1524 target patients.The data was randomly split 8∶2 into training and testing sets.The binary logistic regression method was employed to establish a predictive model for the selection of infectious disease patients'first choosing institution and analyze the influencing factors.The model's predictive performance was evaluated using the AUC of the testing set.Results It analyzed 1 524 infectious disease cases;417 chose community clinics first.Influences on their initial choice included education,insurance type,occupation,relative distance,and having a family doctor.The AUC of the test set was 0.851.Conclusion The predictive model of the selection of infectious disease patients'first choosing institution established in this study can be used to predict patient flow and help allocate medical resources reasonably.Increasing the rate of primary care for patients with infectious diseases in the region.