Death characteristics and trend analysis of malignant tumors in Danjiangkou City in 2015 - 2022
10.3969/j.issn.1006-2483.2024.06.012
- VernacularTitle:2015—2022年丹江口市居民恶性肿瘤死亡特征及趋势分析
- Author:
Jianxin WANG
1
;
Yaxue ZHU
1
;
Jing ZHU
1
;
Zhe ZHANG
1
;
Yiran JI
1
;
Yanyan CHEN
2
Author Information
1. Danjiangkou Center for Disease Control and Prevention , Shiyan , Hubei 442700 , China
2. Hubei Center for Disease Control and Prevention , Wuhan , Hubei 430079 , China
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Malignant tumor;
Mortality;
Trend analysis;
Joinpoint regression analysis
- From:
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine
2024;35(6):55-58
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective To investigate the epidemiological characteristics and changing trend of malignant tumor death in Danjiangkou City, the water source area along the middle route of South-to-North Water Diversion Project. Methods The surveillance data of cancer death cases in Danjiangkou City from 2015 to 2022 were collected, and the mortality rate, gender mortality rate, age-specific mortality rate and the rank of cancer cause of death were calculated. Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the trend of malignant tumor mortality and standardized mortality. Annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC) were calculated to analyze the trend changes. Results From 2015 to 2022, a total of 6 254 deaths from malignant tumors were reported in Danjiangkou City, with a crude mortality rate of 178.57/100 000 and a standardized mortality rate of 152.77/100 000. There were 4 366 male deaths, and the crude mortality and standardized mortality were 244.70/100 000 and 212.87/100 000 , respectively. There were 1 888 female deaths, and the crude mortality rate and the standardized mortality rate were 109.89/100 000 and 92.69/100 000, respectively. The crude death rate of malignant tumors in the whole population in Danjiangkou City showed an increasing trend from 2015 to 2022, and the difference was statistically significant (AAPC=5.18%, t=4.07, P<0.05). The crude mortality rates of malignant tumors in both men and women showed an upward trend, and the differences were statistically significant (AAPC =5.56% and 4.35%, both P<0.05). The standardized mortality rates of malignant tumors in the whole population, women and men remained stable, and the differences were not statistically significant (AAPC=0.68, 1.59 and -0.74, all P>0.05). The trend analysis of age-specific mortality of malignant tumors showed that the age-specific mortality of malignant tumors in the whole population, men and women showed an increasing trend with age, and the differences were statistically significant (AAPC =9.22%, 9.40% and 8.53%, P<0.05). The mortality rate of malignant tumors in 0-, 1-, 10-, 45- and 70- age groups decreased year by year (AAPC =-79.62%, -7.19%, -65.99%, -8.88%, and -5.83%, all P<0.05). The mortality rate in the age group of over 75 years old showed an increasing trend (AAPC =12.24%, P<0.05), and the differences were statistically significant. The top 10 malignant tumor deaths in the whole population were lung cancer, gastric cancer, liver cancer, esophageal cancer, colorectal cancer , leukemia , pancreatic cancer , breast cancer , brain malignant tumor and cervical cancer, accounting for 88.49% of all malignant tumor deaths. Mortality rates in lung cancer (AAPC =6.75%), esophageal cancer (AAPC=11.24%), colorectal cancer (AAPC =12.95%), leukemia (AAPC=8.10%), pancreatic cancer (AAPC=15.11%), breast cancer (AAPC=13.11%) and brain malignancies (AAPC=11.16%) showed an increasing trend, and the differences were statistical significant (P<0.05). Conclusion Malignant tumor is the main cause of death in Danjiangkou City. The death rate increases year by year and increases with age. Lung cancer, stomach cancer and liver cancer are the main causes of death. Men and the elderly are high-risk groups of malignant tumors. Early detection and treatment of malignant tumors should be strengthened to reduce the incidence and death.
