Prognostic factors for ruptured anterior communicating artery aneurysms
10.3760/cma.j.cn115354-20200620-00492
- VernacularTitle:前交通动脉破裂动脉瘤的预后影响因素分析
- Author:
Yangyang SUN
1
;
Zhenxing YANG
;
Chenlu ZHU
;
Dejun HUANG
;
Zongzheng LI
Author Information
1. 宁夏医科大学研究生学院，银川 750004
- Keywords:
Intracranial aneurysm;
Ruptured aneurysm;
Anterior communicating artery;
Clinical prognosis;
Influencing factor
- From:
Chinese Journal of Neuromedicine
2021;20(2):170-176
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To explore the related factors for clinical prognoses of ruptured anterior communicating artery (ACoA) aneurysms.Methods:A retrospective study was performed on the clinical data of 309 patients with ruptured ACoA aneurysms admitted to our hospital from January 2014 to January 2020. The preoperative data included age, gender, smoking history, hypertension, Hunt-Hess grading, Fisher grading, sizes of aneurysms, and spasm of parent artery; and the postoperative data included pneumonia, intracranial infection, cerebral hernia, recurrence and re-hemorrhage of aneurysms, and delayed cerebral ischemia. Clinical prognoses were assessed by modified Rankin scale (mRS). Univariate analysis and multivariate Logistic regression analysis were used to determine the independent risk factors for clinical prognoses. Preoperative model (independent risk factors appeared before surgery) and postoperative model (independent risk factors appeared during the whole treatment process) were constructed; based on these Logistic models, the preoperative and postoperative independent risk factors were concluded. Independent risk factors presented in the preoperative and postoperative models were used as variables to analyze the predictive value of the models by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.Results:Among 309 patients, 264 (85.4%) had good prognosis and 45 (14.6%) had poor prognosis. (1) Univariate analysis showed that significant differences were noted in proportion of smoking patients, and patients with hypertension, Hunt-Hess grading IV-V, Fisher grading IV, wide-necked aneurysm, re-hemorrhage of aneurysms, cerebral vasospasm, pneumonia, intracranial infection, cerebral hernia, delayed cerebral ischemia, and postoperative lumbar cistern drainage between good prognosis group and poor prognosis group ( P<0.05). (2) Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that Hunt-Hess grading Ⅳ-V ( OR=24.198, P=0.000, 95%CI: 4.288-136.559), Fisher grading Ⅳ ( OR=4.792, P=0.044, 95%CI: 1.040-22.079), spasm of parent artery ( OR=12.136, P=0.005, 95%CI: 2.121-69.426), pneumonia ( OR=8.177, P=0.018, 95%CI: 1.438-46.506), postoperative cerebral hernia ( OR=147.042, P=0.002, 95%CI: 6.386-3385.519) and delayed cerebral ischemia ( OR=606.720, P=0.000, 95%CI: 52.288-7040.088) were independent risk factors for prognoses; postoperative lumbar cister drainage ( OR=0.072, P=0.050, 95%CI: 0.005-1.000) was the independent protective factor. (3) ROC curve showed that the preoperative model (with Hunt-Hess grading IV-V, Fisher grading Ⅳ and cerebral vasospasm as variables) had excellent discrimination with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.870 ( 95%CI: 0.82-0.93, P=0.000), and the postoperative model (with variables of preoperative model, pneumonia, delayed cerebral ischemia, and herniation as variables) had excellent discrimination (AUC=0.980, 95%CI: 0.97-0.99, P=0.000). Conclusion:Besides decreasing Hunt-Hess grading and Fisher grading, and relieving the arterial spasm, the management of lumbar subarachnoid continuous drainage and avoidance of postoperative complications, such as cerebral hernia, delayed cerebral ischemia and pneumonia, can also play important roles in improving the prognoses of ruptured ACoA aneurysms.
