The predictive effect of TyG index on type 2 diabetes mellitus
10.3760/cma.j.cn311282-20230401-00147
- VernacularTitle:TyG指数对2型糖尿病的预测作用分析
- Author:
Lingjun RONG
1
;
Zaigang YANG
;
Chunlin LI
;
Yanping GONG
;
Hui TIAN
;
Banruo SUN
Author Information
1. 中国人民解放军总医院第二医学中心内分泌科，中国人民解放军总医院国家老年疾病临床医学中心，北京 100853
- Keywords:
Triglyceride-glucose index;
Diabetes mellitus, type 2;
Prediction;
Elderly
- From:
Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism
2023;39(11):917-922
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To investigate the predictive effects of triglyceride-glucose index(TyG) 0 h, TyG 1 h, and TyG 2 h on type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM) in elderly male participants without diabetes.Methods:A total of 862 subjects were selected and followed up for 20 years, retrospectively. At baseline, all subjects underwent 75 g oral glucose tolerance test(OGTT) and venous plasma glucose measurements were taken before OGTT(FPG), 1 h and 2 h after OGTT(1 h-PG and 2 h-PG, respectively). Fasting blood lipids and other important biochemical indicators were also detected. The index of fasting serum triglycerides(TG) and FPG, 1 h-PG, 2 h-PG were TyG 0 h, TyG 1 h, TyG 2 h, respectively. Cox proportional hazards regression model and receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve were used to evaluate the predictive effect of TyG 0 h, TyG 1 h, and TyG 2 h on T2DM.Results:The results of Cox regression model indicated that TyG 0 h, TyG 1 h and TyG 2 h had predictive effects on T2DM at 10 and 20 years of follow-up [At 10 years of follow-up, TyG 0 h: HR=1.538(95% CI 1.267-1.868), P<0.001; TyG 1 h: HR=2.224(95% CI 1.852-2.672), P<0.001; TyG 2 h: HR=2.117(95% CI 1.777-2.522), P<0.001; and after follow-up for 20 years, TyG 0 h: HR=1.431(95% CI 1.204-1.700), P<0.001; TyG 1 h: HR=2.008(95% CI 1.705-2.364), P<0.001; TyG 2 h: HR=1.850(95% CI 1.582-2.163), P<0.001]. After 10 years of follow-up, the area under the curve(AUC) of TyG 0 h, TyG 1 h, and TyG 2 h for predicting T2DM was 0.699, 0.747, and 0.739, respectively. Comparison of AUC, TyG 1 h or TyG 2 h>TyG 0 h. After 20 years of follow-up, AUC of TyG 0 h, TyG 1 h, and TyG 2 h for predicting T2DM was 0.671, 0.723, and 0.705, respectively. Comparison of AUC, TyG 1 h>TyG 2 h>TyG 0 h. Conclusion:The predictive role of TyG 1 h and TyG 2 h in T2DM is superior to TyG 0 h, and TyG 1 h′s long-term predictive effect on T2DM is better than TyG 2 h, which can be used as a reference index to evaluate the risk of T2DM in clinical practice.
