Risk factors and their early warning effectiveness for the occurrence of early neurological deterioration in patients with moderate traumatic brain injury
10.3760/cma.j.cn501098-20230710-00399
- VernacularTitle:中型创伤性脑损伤患者早期神经功能恶化的危险因素及其预警效能分析
- Author:
Ruhai WANG
1
;
Shen WANG
;
Min ZHANG
;
Chao HAN
;
Qiang YU
;
Haicheng HU
;
Xizhen LI
Author Information
1. 阜阳师范大学附属第二医院神经外科，阜阳 236063
- Keywords:
Brain injuries, traumatic;
Risk factors;
Early neurological deterioration
- From:
Chinese Journal of Trauma
2023;39(11):1006-1013
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To investigate the risk factors and their early warning effectiveness for the occurrence of early neurological deterioration (END) in patients with moderate traumatic brain injury (modTBI).Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of 265 patients with modTBI admitted to the Second Affiliated Hospital of Fuyang Normal University from January 2018 to April 2023. There were 165 males and 100 females, with age range of 20-91 years [(59.5±14.4)years]. The patients were divided into END group ( n=46) (17.4%) and non-END group ( n=219) (82.6%) according to whether the Glasgow Coma Score (GCS) decreased by 2 points or more within 72 hours after injury. Data of the two groups were recorded, including gender, age, basic diseases (hypertension and diabetes), cause of injury (traffic injuries, falls, etc), vomiting before admission, admission GCS, first CT scan time, epilepsy, brain contusion, subarachnoid hemorrhage, types of intracranial hematoma (epidural, subdural, and intracerebral hematoma), types of fracture (skull base fracture and skull fracture), laboratory indicators [platelet count (PLT), blood potassium level, serum total calcium concentration, thrombin time (TT), prothrombin time (PT), international normalized ratio (INR), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), level of fibrinogen (FIB), and level of D-dimer. Correlations between above-mentioned indicators and occurrence of END among modTBI patients were assessed and the independent risk factors were revealed by univariate and multivariate binary Logistic regression analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and area under curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the early-warning effectiveness of each risk factor for END. Results:Univariate analysis showed that admission GCS, first CT scan time, epidural hematoma, subdural hematoma, intracerebral hematoma, serum potassium level, FIB and D-dimer were statistically correlated with occurrence of END among modTBI patients ( P<0.05 or 0.01). Multivariate binary Logistic regression analysis showed that admission GCS≤10 points ( OR=0.53, 95% CI 0.34, 0.84, P<0.01), first CT scan time≤2.0 hours ( OR=0.58, 95% CI 0.37, 0.92, P<0.05), epidural hematoma ( OR=0.26, 95% CI 0.10, 0.69, P<0.05), intracerebral hematoma ( OR=0.14, 95% CI 0.04, 0.44, P<0.01), level of FIB≤2.3 g/L ( OR=0.34, 95% CI 0.18, 0.64, P<0.01), level of D-dimer>10.4 mg/L ( OR=1.04, 95% CI 1.02, 1.07, P<0.01) were independent risk factors for END among modTBI patients. ROC curve analysis showed that the first CT scan time had relatively higher early warning value (AUC=0.79, 95% CI 0.74, 0.84), level of D-dimer (AUC=0.75, 95% CI 0.70, 0.80) and level of FIB (AUC=0.70, 95% CI 0.65, 0.76) had moderate early warning value, which was higher than that of admission GCS (AUC=0.62, 95% CI 0.56, 0.68), intracerebral hematoma (AUC=0.62, 95% CI 0.56, 0.68) and epidural hematoma (AUC=0.60, 95% CI 0.54, 0.66). The combination of the risk factors revealed superior early warning efficiency for END (AUC=0.90, 95% CI 0.85, 0.93). Conclusions:Admission GCS≤10 points, first CT scan time≤2.0 hours, epidural hematoma, intracerebral hematoma, level of FIB≤2.3 g/L and level of D-dimer>10.4 mg/L are independent risk factors for END among modTBI patients. The early warning value of the first CT scan is the highest, followed by D-dimer and FIB, and the early warning effectiveness of admission GCS, intracerebral hematoma and epidural hematoma is ordinary.The combination of the above risk factors has better early warning efficiency for occurrence of END among modTBI patients.
