Prediction of clinical risk factors for lymph node metastasis in central group of monofocal papillary thyroid carcinoma
10.3760/cma.j.cn.115807-20231018-00111
- VernacularTitle:单灶甲状腺乳头状癌中央区淋巴结转移临床风险因素预测研究
- Author:
Tong ZHANG
1
;
Min TIAN
;
Huijun CAO
;
Zhijiang HAN
;
Yanyan SHU
;
Peiying WEI
Author Information
1. 浙江中医药大学第四临床医学院，杭州 310053
- Keywords:
Papillary thyroid carcinoma;
Central lymph node metastasis
- From:
Chinese Journal of Endocrine Surgery
2024;18(1):83-87
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To determine the clinical factors affecting Central lymph node metastases (CLNM) of single Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). To predict the value of age for CLNM under different genders and the status of Hashimoto’s thyroiditis (HT) .Methods:The clinical data of 4 115 patients with PTMC (≤10.0 mm) and 664 patients with PTC (> 10.0 mm) in Hangzhou First People’s Hospital affiliated to Westlake University Medical School from Jan. 2010 to Aug. 2023 were retrospectively analyzed, and the independent risk factors of PTMC and PTC CLNM were identified by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. According to different gender and HT status, the patients were divided into male group, female group, HT group and non-HT group. The optimal age threshold and diagnostic efficacy of CLNM in each subgroup were determined by Receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC) .Results:The proportion of CLNM in 3451 PTMCs and 664 PTCs was 27.2% (937/3451) and 58.9% (391/664) ( χ2=256.565, P<0.050), respectively. Univariate and multivariate regression analysis showed that larger tumor ( OR 1.230), male ( OR 2.085), older age ( OR 0.960) and HT ( OR 0.697) were independent predictors of the occurrence of CLNM in PTMC. Only male ( OR 1.460) and older ( OR 0.963) PTC were independently associated with CLNM. Subgroup analysis showed that the age-predicted AUC of CLNM in male, HT and non-HT patients in PTC were higher than that of PTMC, which were 0.642-0.689 and 0.635-0.659, respectively. The age thresholds of female, HT and non-HT subgroups in PTC were lower than those in PTMC, which were 38.5 to 39.5 years old and 41.5 to 42.5 years old, respectively. Conclusions:Larger tumor, male, older patients and HT can independently predict the risk of CLNM in PTMC, while only male and older people can independently predict the risk of CLNM in PTC. There are certain differences in the age of CLNM occurrence between PTMC and PTC patients with different genders and HT combination status. It is of great significance to correctly understand these differences for providing personalized clinical treatment.
