Objective To construct and validate a clinical prediction model for delayed extubation undergoing non-emergency major surgery based on the random forest algorithm.Methods Clinical data of 7 528 patients undergoing non-emergency major surgery under general anesthesia from January 2018 to De-cember 2022 were retrospectively collected.The patients were divided into two groups according to whether extubation was performed within 2 hours after surgery:non-delayed extubation group(≤2 hours)and de-layed extubation group(＞2 hours).All the patients were randomly divided into a training set and a valida-tion set in a ratio of 7 ∶ 3.The predictive factors for delayed extubation after surgery were screened through LASSO regression and Logistic regression.The random forest model was established and verified by random forest algorithm.Results There were 123 patients(1.6%)experienced delayed extubation after surgery.ASA physical status,department,intraoperative use of flurbiprofen ester,dexmedetomidine,glucocorticoid,hypocalcemia,severe anemia,intraoperative blood transfusion,and airway spasm were identified as inde-pendent predictive factors for delayed extubation.The area under curve(AUC)value of the random forest prediction model in the validation set was0.751(95%CI0.742-0.778),and the sensitivity was98.1%,and the specificity was 41.9%.Conclusion The predictive model of delayed extubation undergoing non-e-mergency major surgery based on random forest algorithm has a good predictive value,which may be helpful to prevent delayed extubation undergoing non-emergency major surgery.

Objective To investigate the risk factors for postoperative pulmonary infection in pa-tients undergoing liver transplantation.Methods Clinical data of 1 358 patients who underwent liver trans-plantation for the first time from June 2005 to June 2013 at three clinical medical centers were retrospectively analyzed.Patients were divided into two groups according to whether or not they developed lung infection within 30 days after surgery:the infection group and the non-infection group.General,intrao-perative and postoperative data were collected,and risk factors for pulmonary infection after liver transplan-tation were analyzed using univariate analysis and binary logistic regression.Results Lung infections after liver transplantation occurred in 316 patients(23.3%),of whom 21 patients(6.7%)died.Compared with the non-infection group,the proportion of preoperative diagnosis of chronic severe hepatitis,hepatocellular carcinoma,hepatitis C cirrhosis,congenital liver disease and liver failure,preoperative combined hepatore-nal syndrome,hepatic coma and diabetes mellitus,preoperative creatinine concentration were significantly increased in the infection group(P＜0.05),preoperative total protein and albumin concentrations were significantly decreased(P＜0.05),and the duration of the hepatic-free period,the duration of postoperative awakening,and the duration of postoperative extubation were significantly prolonged(P＜0.05),intraoperative blood loss was significantly increased(P＜0.05),intraoperative urine output was significantly decreased(P＜0.05),the proportion of intraoperative phenylephrine,atropine,lidocaine,and furosemide drugs were significantly decreased(P＜0.05),and postoperative mortality rate was signifi-cantly increased in the infection group(P＜0.05).The results of binary logistic regression analysis showed that chronic severe hepatitis,hepatitis C cirrhosis,liver failure,preoperative diabetes mellitus,intraopera-tive blood loss＞1 900 ml,and postoperative awakening time＞7.3 hours were the risk factors for postoper-ative pulmonary infections in liver transplant patients,and the surgical method(classical non-transfusion in situ liver transplantation),the use of lidocaine during surgery,preoperative total protein＞64.6 g/L,and intraoperative urine volume＞1 800 ml were protective factors for postoperative pulmonary infections in liver transplantation patients.Conclusion Preoperative diagnosis of chronic severe hepatitis,hepatitis C cirrho-sis,liver failure,preoperative combined diabetes mellitus,intraoperative blood loss＞1 900 ml,and post-operative awakening time＞7.3 hours are risk factors for pulmonary infection after liver transplantation.

Objective To investigate the correlation between preoperative N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptidogen(NT-proBNP)levels and early postoperative outcomes in elderly and critically ill pa-tients with hip fractures.Methods A total of 593 elderly and critically ill patients with hip fractures from January 2018 to April 2021 were selected,including 189 males and 404 females,aged≥65 years,BMI 12.0-35.5 kg/m2,ASA physical status Ⅱ-Ⅳ.General preoperative information,intraoperative and post-operative discharge outcomes of patients were retrospectively obtained by the electrical clinical medical record system or telephone follow-up.The receiver operator characteristic(ROC)curve of preoperative plas-ma NT-proBNP and postoperative 30-day death was plotted,and the corresponding optimal cut-off value was 1 765.0 pg/ml.According to NT-proBNP values,the patients were divided into two groups:low-ratio group(NT-proBNP≤1 765.0 pg/ml,group L,n = 463)and high-ratio group(NT-proBNP＞1 765.0 pg/ml,group H,n = 130).The correlation between different plasma concentrations of NT-proBNP before surgery and ICU length of stay,total length of stay,postoperative complications,and 30-day mortality rate were an-alyzed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis.Results Compared with group L,age,preoperative comorbidities with coronary heart disease,arrhythmia,chronic heart failure,lung disease,and chronic kidney disease,as well as mortality within 30 days after surgery were significantly increased in group H(P＜0.05).The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that high preoperative plasma NT-proBNP concentration was positive correlation with postoperative ICU length of stay(OR = 1.215,95%CI 1.073-1.375,P = 0.020)and 30-day mortality rate(OR = 32.696,95%CI 7.158-149.338,P＜0.001).Conclusion High preoperative plasma NT-proBNP concentration is positive correlation with postoperative ICU hospitalization timeand 30-day mortality.

Objective To construct a risk assessment scale for postoperative delirium(POD)in elderly patients undergoing hip and knee joint replacement and evaluate the effect.Methods A total of 474 elderly patients undergoing hip and knee arthroplasty from March 2021 to May 2022 were collected as the training set,and a total of 153 the homogeneous patients from January 2022 to May 2022 were collected as the validation set.The patients were divided into two groups based on whether or not POD occurred:non-POD group and POD group.Risk factors of POD in the training set were analyzed by univariate analysis and multifactorial logistic regression.The consistency of the model was evaluated by Homser-Lemeshow goodness of fit test.The postoperative delirium risk assessment scale was established after the selected variables as-signed value according to OR value,and the predictive efficacy of the scale was evaluated by receiver oper-ating characteristic(ROC)curve.The patients in the training set and the validation set were divided into two groups according to the cut-off value:high-risk and low-risk.The incidence rate of POD with different risk stratification was calculated and the applicability of the risk assessment scale was evaluated.Results Fifty-eight patients(12.2%)with POD in the training set,and nineteen patients(12.4%)with POD in the validation set.Multifactor logistic regression showed that age≥85 years,ASA physical status Ⅲ or Ⅳ,the mini-mental state examination(MMSE)score≤24 points,preoperative sleep disorder,comorbid neu-rological disorders,use of general anesthesia,and non-use of dexmedetomidine were independent risk factors of POD.The POD risk assessment scale was then published based the seven risk factors.The ROC curve showed that the area under the curve(AUC)for this scale to predict the risk of POD was 0.956(95%CI 0.937-0.975),and the risk stratification was performed with a cut-off value of 44.5 points,which divided the patients into low-risk and high-risk.Compared with low-risk,the incidence rate of POD in high-risk patients group was significantly increased(P＜0.001).Conclusion A risk assessment scale based on the seven risk factors:age≥85 years,ASA physical status Ⅲ or Ⅳ,MMSE score≤24 points,preoperative sleep disorder,combined neurological disease,use of general anesthetic modality,and non-use of dexmedetomidine,can effectively identify elderly patients undergoing hip and knee replacement who are at high risk of developing POD.

Objective To explore the effects of permissive hypercapnia on postoperative cognitive function in elderly patients with diabetes mellitus.Methods Sixty elderly patients with diabetes mellitus scheduled for laparoscopic upper abdominal surgery under general anesthesia,were randomly divided into two groups:the permissive hypercapnia ventilation diabetes mellitus group(group DH)and the routine ven-tilation diabetes mellitus group(group DR),30 patients in each group.Another sixty elderly patients with non-diabetes mellitus scheduled for laparoscopic upper abdominal surgery under general anesthesia,were randomly divided into two groups:the permissive hypercapnia ventilation non-diabetes mellitus group(group NH)and the routine ventilation group(group NR),30 patients in each group.All patients in four groups were performed with tracheal intubation and mechanical ventilation after anesthesia induction.The respiratory parameters were adjusted to maintain PaCO2 in a range of 45-65 mmHg in groups DH and NH,and PaCO2 in a range of 35-45 mmHg in groups DR and NR.PETCO2 was recorded 5 minutes before pneu-moperitoneum,5,15,and 30 minutes after pneumoperitoneum.Blood samples were taken from the radial artery and jugular bulb for blood gas analysis 5 minutes before pneumoperitoneum,5,15,and 30 minutes after pneumoperitoneum.pH value and PaCO2 were recorded and arterial internal jugular vein bulbar oxygen difference(Da-jvO2)and cerebral oxygen extraction rate(CERO2)were calculated at the same time.The serum S100β protein concentration were detected before anesthesia induction and 3 days after operation.Montreal cognitive assessment(MoCA)scores and occurrence of postoperative cognitive dysfunction were recorded 1 day before operation,and 1 day,3 days and 7 days after operation.Results Compared with the baseline value 5 minutes before pneumoperitoneum,PETCO2 and PaCO2 were significantly increased,pH value,Da-jvO2 and CERO2 were significantly decreased 5,15,and 30 minutes after pneumoperitoneum in the four groups(P＜0.05).Compared with before anesthesia induction,the serum S100β protein concen-tration were significantly increased 3 days after operation in the four groups(P＜0.05).Compared with the last day before operation,MoCA scores were significantly decreased 1 day and 3 days after operation in the four groups(P＜0.05).Compared with group DR,PETCO2 was significantly increased,pH value,Da-jvO2,and CERO2 were significantly decreased 5 minutes before pneumoperitoneum,5,15,and 30 mi-nutes after pneumoperitoneum,the serum S100β protein concentration was significantly decreased 3 days af-ter operation,MoCA scores were significantly increased 1 day and 3 days after operation,the incidence rate of POCD was significantly decreased in group DH(P＜0.05).Compared with group NR,PETCO2 was sig-nificantly increased,pH value,Da-jvO2,and CERO2 were significantly decreased 5 minutes before pneu-moperitoneum,5,15,and 30 minutes after pneumoperitoneum,the serum S100β protein concentration was significantly decreased 3 days after operation,MoCA scores were significantly increased 1 day and 3 days af-ter operation,the incidence rate of POCD was significantly decreased in group NH(P＜0.05).Compared with group NH,Da-jvO2 and CERO2 were significantly increased 5 minutes before pneumoperitoneum,5,15,and 30 minutes after pneumoperitoneum,the serum S100β protein concentration was significantly in-creased 3 days after operation,MoCA scores were significantly decreased 1 day and 3 days after operation in group DH(P＜0.05).Conclusion Permissive hypercapnia can improve the cerebral oxygen metabolism during operation,reduce postoperative serum S100β protein concentration and reduce the incidence rate of POCD in the elderly patients with diabetes mellitus.

Objective To investigate the effects of dynamic lung compliance(Cdyn)-guided indi-vidual positive end-expiratory pressure(PEEP)titration on pulmonary function in elderly patients undergoing laparoscopic colorectal cancer surgery.Methods Sixty-eight elderly patients were selected for laparoscopic radical resection of colorectal cancer,37 males and 31 females,aged 65-79 years,BMI<30 kg/m2,ASA physical status Ⅱ or Ⅲ.The patients were divided into two groups using the random number table method:individualized PEEP group(group P)and control group(group C),34 patients in each group.In group P,the patients received recruitment maneuvers and PEEP titration test at immediately after intubation,immediately after establishing pneumoperitoneum-Trendelenburg position and immediately after pneumoperitoneum.The patients in group C received PEEP 5 cmH2 O during procedure.The three best titra-tion PEEP and the actual tidal volume(VT)in group P were also recorded.PaO2,PaCO2,PETCO2 10 mi-nutes after the tracheal intubation(T1),10 minutes(T2)and 1 hour(T3)after establishing pneumoperito-neum-Trendelenburg position,at the end of the surgery but before extubation(T4)were recorded,and the oxygenation index(OI),physiological dead space to tidal volume(Vd/VT),alveolar arterial oxygen differ-ence(A-aDO2),driving pressure,and Cdyn were calculated.Concentrations of interleukin-8(IL-8),tumor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α),Clara cell secretoyr protein(CC16)and lung alveolar surface active sub-stances-D(SP-D)in the serum samples were determined by ELISA before anesthesia induction(T0)and 10 minutes after extubation(T5).Postoperative pulmonary complications(PPCs)were also recordrd.Results The individualized PEEP of Cdyn?guided PEEP titration was 4 cmH2O. Compared with group C, the PaO2 and OI in group C were significantly increased at T4, the Cdyn was significantly increased at T1,T3, and T4, the driving pressure was significantly decreased at T1 -T4, the serum concentration of CC16 was significantly decreased at T5 ( P < 0. 05). There were no significant differences in PaCO2, PET CO2,A?aDO2, and Vd/ VT between the two groups. There was no severe PPCs in the two groups. Conclusion Pressure?controlled ventilation modes combined with Cdyn?guide PEEP titration can increase the Cdyn, reduce thedriving pressure, and improve OI at the end of the operation, reduce the concentrations of CC16 at postop?eration, improve pulmonary function in elderly patients undergoing laparoscopic colorectal cancer surgery.

Objective To investigate the effect of transcutaneous electrical acupoint stimulation(TEAS)on postoperative sore throat(POST)in patients undergoing double-lumen bronchial intubation based on general anesthesia.Methods A total of 103 patients,45 males and 58 females,aged 18-64 years,BMI 18-28 kg/m2,ASA physical status Ⅰ-Ⅲ,who received selective operation of double-lumen bronchial intubation under general anesthesia were selected.The patients were divided into two groups using the random number table method:TEAS group(n = 51)and control group(n = 52).In the TEAS group,TEAS on Tiantu acupoint and bilateral Hegu acupoints started 30 minutes before anesthesia induction,and the stimulation lasted until the patients were sent to the recovery room.In the control group,electrodes were placed on the same acupoints without electrical stimulation.The Mallampati grade,number of tracheal intu-bation attempts,compression of cricoid cartilage,resistance during intubation,and double-lumen endobron-chial tube(DLT)retention time were recorded.The incidence and severity of POST,VAS pain scores of sore throat,and the incidence of hoarseness 1 hour,6,and 24 hours after extubation were recorded.Results Compared with the control group,the incidence of POST,the incidence of POST level 1,and VAS pain scores of sore throat were significantly decreased 1 hour,6,and 24 hours after extubation(P＜0.05),the incidence of POST level 2 was significantly decreased 6 hours after extubation in the TEAS group(P＜0.05).There were no significant differences in the situations related to tracheal intubation,and the inci-dence of hoarseness 1 hour,6,and 24 hours after extubation between the two groups.Conclusion The transcutaneous electrical acupoint stimulation on Tiantu acupoint and bilateral Hegu acupoints can signifi-cantly reduce the incidence and severity of postoperative sore throat,and VAS pain scores of sore throat in patients undergoing double-lumen bronchial intubation.

Objective To investigate the effect of preoperative oral midazolam on postoperative de-lirium in elderly patients with preoperative moderate-severe anxiety undergoing radical resection of colorectal cancer.Methods Eighty elderly patients undergoing laparoscopic surgery for radical resection of colorectal cancer,32 males and 48 females,aged 65-79 years,BMI 21-27 kg/m2,ASA physical status Ⅱ or Ⅲ,the state-trait anxiety inventory(STAI-S)≥38 scores at admission were selected.Patients were divided into two groups using random number method:control group and midazolam group,40 patients in each group.The midazolam group were administrated midazolam 7.5 mg per night till one day before surgery,while the placebo was administrated in the control group.The incidence of delirium 3 days after surgery and the STAI-S scores of one day before surgery were evaluated.The HR and MAP at entry,30 minutes after an-esthesia induction,1 hour,2 hours after anesthesia induction,and 30 minutes after extubation were recor-ded.The total dose of propofol,remifentanil and dexmedetomidine and the using rate of metaraminol were recorded.The visual analog scale scores 30 minutes after extubation,24 and 72 hours after surgery,the u-sing rate of tramadol,and the extubation time were recorded.Results Compared with the control group,the STAI-S scores of one day before surgery,and the incidence of postoperative delirium,the rate of using metaraminol,the VAS scores 30 minutes after extubation and 24 hours after surgery,the rate using of tram-adol were significantly decreased in the midazolam group(P＜0.05).There were no significant differences in total dose of propofol,remifentanil,and dexmedetomidine,extubation time between the two groups.Conclusion Preoperative oral midazolam can effectively reduce the incidence of postoperative delirium in elderly patients with preoperative moderate-severe anxiety undergoing radical resection of colorectal cancer.

Objective To investigate risk factors of postoperative pulmonary complications(PPCs)in children after video-assisted thoracoscopic lung resection.Methods Retrospective analysis of clinical data of 566 children,334 males and 232 females,aged≤6 years,ASA physical statusⅠorⅡ,enrolled for video-assisted thoracoscopic lung resection.The children were divided into two groups based on whether they developed PPCs within 7 days after surgery:the PPCs group and the non-PPCs group.Factors with P≤0.2 and perceived as potentially clinically meaningful,were included in the binary logistic regression model.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was drawn and the area under the curve(AUC)was calculated.Results A total of 123 children(21.7%)developed postoperative pulmonary compli-cations(PPCs).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed longer duration of one-lung ventilation(OLV),faster respiratory rate during OLV and inexperienced surgeon were found to be independently risk factors of PPCs.Higher PEEP level was protective factors of PPCs(The maximum PEEP was 7 cmH2 O).The prediction model was Logit(P)=-4.41+0.006×OLV duration+0.063×OLV respiratory rate+0.569×inexperienced surgeon(yes = 1)-0.16×maximum PEEP value.The ROC curve showed a good accuracy with an area under the curve of 0.682(95%CI 0.631-0.734),and sensitivity was76.4%,and specificity was 69.6%.Conclusion Longer OLV duration,faster repiratory rate and less surgeon experience are found to be independently risk factors of PPCs.Higher PEEP level is protective factor of PPCs.

Objective To identify the risk factors for newly developed lower extremity deep vein thrombosis(DVT)in patients transferred to the anesthesia intensive care unit(AICU)after general anes-thesia.Methods A total of 192 patients who were transferred to AICU with tracheal intubation after elective general anesthesia from May 2022 to August 2022,105 males and 87 females,aged 18-85 years,BMI 18-31 kg/m2,ASA physical status Ⅱor Ⅲ,were retrospectively collected.The patients'baseline da-ta,anesthesia surgery data and preoperative and postoperative laboratory examination data were obtained.The patients were divided into two groups according to the results of ultrasound within 6 hours after admission to the AICU:DVT group and non-DVT group.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the risk factors and 95%confidence interval(CI)of DVT in AICU patients within 6 hours after sur-gery.ResultsNew DVT occurred in 64 patients(33.3%)in AICU after general anesthesia were calf inter-muscular venous thrombosis(CMVT).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that preoperative ar-rhythmia(OR = 2.236,95%CI 1.011-4.943,P = 0.047),high preoperative platelet count(OR = 1.006,95%CI 1.002-1.010,P = 0.007),high preoperative D-dimer concentration(OR=1.203,95%CI 1.046-1.383,P = 0.010),intraoperative hypotension(OR = 1.010,95%CI 1.002-1.019,P = 0.020),and intraoperative norepinephrine application(OR = 3.796,95%CI 1.697-8.492,P = 0.001)were risk factors for new DVT formation in AICU patients after general anesthesia.History of regular intake of aspirin(OR = 0.176,95%CI 0.060-0.518,P = 0.002)was protective factor.Conclusion Preoperative arrhythmia,high preoperative platelet count,high preoperative D-dimer concentration,intraop-erative hypotension,and administration of intraoperative norepinephrine are risk factors for new DVT within 6 hours after general anesthesia in AICU patients.