Objective To study the trend in the burden of colorectal cancer attributed to high body mass index (BMI) in China from 1990 to 2021, and to predict the mortality rate from 2022 to 2035. Methods Based on the 2021 Global Burden of Disease data, this paper analyzed the trends of colorectal cancer mortality and Disability-adjusted Life Years (DALY) rates and their standardized rates attributed to high BMI in China from 1990 to 2021, and calculated their average annual percent change (AAPC). Age-period-cohort (APC) models were applied to assess the age, period, and cohort effects on mortality, and the Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) models were used to predict the mortality rate of colorectal cancer attributed to high BMI in China from 2022 to 2035. Results From 1990 to 2021, the standardized mortality rate (Age-standardized Mortality Rate, ASMR) and standardized DALY rate (Age-standardized Disability-adjusted Life Years Rate, ASDR) of colorectal cancer caused by high BMI in China increased significantly, and the ranking of risk factors rose from 9th to 5th and 4th respectively, with AAPC values of 2.43% (95%CI: 2.29-2.57) and 2.33% (95% CI: 2.21-2.46), which outpaced the global and each Socio-demographic Index (SDI) regions. The disease burden of male was significantly higher than that of female, and the net drifts in mortality rate of colorectal cancer associated with high BMI were 2.37 times higher than females. In addition, the mortality rate increased significantly with age, and showed a year-on-year increasing trend, and the cohort effect also showed a higher risk of death. It was predicted that the mortality rate of colorectal cancer attributed to high BMI in China will continue to rise in the future, increasing by 53.06% from 2022 to 2035. Conclusion In China, the disease burden of colorectal cancer attributed to high BMI continues to increase, especially in the male and elderly population. The colorectal burden associated with high BMI should be reduced by optimizing public health policies, including promoting healthy diet, enhancing weight management, promoting physical activity, and improving cancer screening strategies.

Objective To establish a scientific, comprehensive, and operable community resilience evaluation index system for emergent major infectious diseases. Methods Based on the social ecosystem theory, a preliminary evaluation index system was formed by using content analysis and boundary analysis. The index system was then supplemented and revised through panel discussions. The final index system and index weights were clarified by two rounds of Delphi method. Results The expert positive coefficient, expert authority coefficient, and expert coordination coefficient of the two rounds of expert consultations were examined. According to the screening principle of the ^“threshold method^”, the indicators were screened, and the weights of each indicator were determined in the second round of Delphi expert consultation. The analysis of the reliability of the indicator system showed Cronbach's α= 0.399 , indicating that the indicator system had a relatively high reliability. Factor analysis was carried out on 7 primary indicators, and the measure of sampling adequacy (MSA) values were all greater than 0.5, which passed the validity test. Conclusion A set of evaluation index system that can accurately reflect the resilience level of communities with emergent major infectious diseases has been constructed, including 7 primary indicators, 21 secondary indicators, 54 tertiary indicators, and 108 tertiary indicators, which has realized the quantitative evaluation of the hidden resilience level of communities.

Objective To analyze the trends in the disease burden of pertussis in China from 1990 to 2021, and to provide a basis for the development of effective prevention and control strategies. Methods Using the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) database, the incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), as well as the age-standardized rates of pertussis in China from 1990 to 2021 were analyzed. Descriptive statistical methods were employed to analyze the characteristics of the pertussis disease burden, and the Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the trends in pertussis disease burden. Results From 1990 to 2021, the incidence, mortality, and DALYs of pertussis in China decreased from 1 503 800 cases, 10 951 deaths, and 954 900 person-years to 65 400 cases, 548 deaths, and 46 500 person-years, representing a decrease of 95.65%, 95.00%, and 95.13%, respectively. The corresponding age-standardized rates also decreased by 93.58%, 92.47%, and 92.53%, respectively. The Joinpoint regression model revealed a significant downward trend in the age-standardized incidence, mortality, and DALYs rates for pertussis (AAPCs were -8.32%, -9.65%, and -9.58%, respectively, P<0.001). The disease burden was slightly higher in females than in males, with the majority of cases occurring in children under 10 years old, particularly in infants under 1 year old, where the burden was the heaviest. As age increased, the disease burden decreased. Conclusion Between 1990 and 2021, the overall disease burden of pertussis in China showed a significant downward trend, with gender and age differences. Special attention should be given on the prevention and control of pertussis in children under 10 years old, especially in infants under 1 year old.

Objective To understand the epidemic characteristics and genotype distribution of acute hepatitis B in Tianjin, and to find out the relationship between genotype and epidemic characteristics. Methods The information of acute hepatitis B cases with a local address in Tianjin was collected through the National Infectious Disease Surveillance System in Tianjin from 2018 to 2022. The patient outcomes were followed up through hospital system records and telephone survey, and hepatitis B virus (HBV) genotypes were detected by fluorescent PCR. Results From 2018 to 2022, there were 387 cases of acute hepatitis B with local address reported in Tianjin, with an average annual reported incidence rate of 0.52/100 000, showing a downward trend in general (χ²=28.553，P<0.001). The reported male to female incidence ratio was 1.68. The age distribution was mainly concentrated in the 30-65 age group, with the highest incidence rate (1.22/100 000) reported in the 35-39 age group. 72.87% of cases showed negative HBsAg after 6 months of follow-up following diagnosis. The proportion of cadres and staff who turned negative (92.16%) was significantly higher than that of those who did not turn negative (0%). The median ALT (1508.00 U/L) in the turning negative group was significantly higher than that in the non-turning negative group (976.00 U/L). Among 315 cases with successful genotyping, genotype C accounted for 81.27%, and genotype B accounted for 14.92%, with 47 cases. The median ALT of genotype B patients with acute hepatitis B (1585.00 U/L) was significantly higher than that of genotype C patients (988.00 U/L). Conclusion The reported incidence rate of acute hepatitis B in Tianjin is relatively low, and shows a downward trend. Young and middle-aged men are prone to infect HBV. Genotype C is the main genotype, and genotype B HBV causes more serious liver damage in patients with acute hepatitis B.

Objective To understand the surveillance situation of poliovirus in Guangzhou from 2011 to 2024, and to further strengthen polio surveillance and ensure the continued maintenance of a polio-free status. Methods An analysis was conducted on the discovery and investigation results of six cases of vaccine-derived poliovirus (VDPV) detected in Guangzhou. Results A total of 6 VDPV incidents were reported in Guangzhou from 2011 to June 2024, among which 5 incidents were from sewage sample testing in the Liede Sewage Treatment Plant in Guangzhou, all of which were confirmed as VDPV, with 1 for type I, 1 for type II, and 3 for type III. In addition, one confirmed HFMD case was identified as a type VDPV II carrier. No presence of any wild poliovirus (WPV), VDPV cases, or circulating VDPV (cVDPV) was reported. Conclusion Guangzhou City has maintained a high level of vigilance and effectiveness in the monitoring and prevention of polio. Continuously strengthening the construction of the polio monitoring network, optimizing vaccination strategies, and comprehensively improving public health awareness are still the focus of the prevention and control work in the future.

Objective To analyze the operation of Measles Surveillance System (MSS) in Hebei Province, and to provide evidence for measles elimination. Methods Measles surveillance data was collected from the MSS from 2020 to 2023, and a modified weighted technology for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution (TOPSIS) method was used to evaluate the surveillance indexes of measles in Hebei Province. Results The operation quality of the measles surveillance system in Hebei Province was improved year by year, with the highest quality in 2023, and all the indicators reached the monitoring program standards. The quality of measles surveillance system was not balanced among cities, and the main influencing factor was the substandard sensitivity indicators. The quality of measles surveillance system was the highest in Baoding City and the lowest in Zhangjiakou City. Conclusion The measles surveillance system in Hebei province is running well, and the sensitivity of the surveillance system should be improved to keep the high-quality operation of the surveillance system.

Objective To analyze the relationship between changes of CD80, CD86 and Th1/Th2 cytokines and the severity of coxsackievirus A6 (CVA6) hand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD). Methods Among the 380 children with CVA6 HFMD in the 971th Hospital of the People's Liberation Army Navy and the 94th Hospital of the Joint Logistic Support Force were selected from January 2021 to January 2024. According to the disease severity, the children were divided into common group and severe group. The levels of CD80, CD86 and Th1/Th2 cytokines (interferon-γ (IFN-γ), interleukin-4 (IL-4)) were compared between the two groups. The ROC curve was used to analyze the evaluation efficiency of CD80, CD86, IFN gamma, and IL-4 levels on the severity of CVA6 HFMD. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the influencing factors of the severity of CVA6 HFMD. Results The levels of CD80, CD86, IFN-γ and IL-4 in the severe group were higher than those in the common group (P<0.05). The AUCs of CD80, CD86, IFN-γ, IL-4 and their combined detection in evaluating severity of CVA6 HFMD were 0.769, 0.717, 0.756, 0.864, and 0.917, respectively. The AUC value and specificity of combined detection were higher than those of single detection of each index (P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that age ≤ 3 years old was a risk factors (P<0.05), while time from onset to diagnosis ≤ 3d, duration of fever ≤ 3d, WB ≤ 12×109/L, low expression of CD80, low expression of IFN-γ, and low expression of IL-4 were protective factors (P<0.05). Conclusion CD80, CD86 and Th1/Th2 cytokines (IFN-γ, IL-4) are related to the severity of CVA6 HFMD. Early monitoring of CD80, CD86, IFN-γ and IL-4 levels in children is conducive to understanding their disease progression and guiding physician treatment.

Objective To analyze the urban drinking water quality and its influencing factors in Anhui Province from 2014 to 2022, and to provide a scientific basis for water quality improvement and protection. Methods The data were collected, saved and monitored according to the Standard Test Method for Drinking Water (GB/T5750-2006) and evaluated according to the Hygienic Standard for Drinking Water (GB 5749-2006). Results A total of 20 941 samples were collected, and the overall qualified rate was 84.26%. The qualified rate of urban drinking water increased from 76.9% in 2014 to 93.3% in 2022, and the qualified rate of water quality was on the rise (χ²=544.43, P＜0.01). From 2014 to 2022, the qualified rate of water quality in dry season was higher than that in wet season (χ²=35.98, P<0.001), the qualified rate of surface water was higher than that of ground water (χ²=4440.8, P<0.001), and the qualified rate of peripheral tap water was higher than that of factory water (χ²=145.1, P<0.001). Among all kinds of disinfection methods, chlorination disinfection had the highest qualified rate (χ²=1483.8, P<0.001). The qualified rate of water quality increased with the increase of the scale of water plant. Among the inspected indicators, the main unqualified indicators were chlorine dioxide (7.72%), fluoride (7.41%), free residual chlorine (3.90%), and total bacterial count (2.13%). Conclusion The passing rate of urban drinking water quality in Anhui Province is on an upward trend, and the quality of urban drinking water has improved. However, it is still important to pay attention to the problem of excessive microorganism and fluoride in water, and the quality of drinking water varies from place to place.

Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics and risk factors of chronic kidney disease in patients with 10 years of hypertension. Methods A total of 350 patients with 10 years or longer course of hypertension who underwent physical examination in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Air Force Medical University from June 2021 to June 2024 were selected. General information of the patients was collected through questionnaires. Renal function related indicators and imaging results were obtained through relevant laboratory tests and imaging examinations. Based on the results of renal function related indicators, the epidemiological characteristics of chronic kidney disease in hypertensive patients with 10 years of hypertension, as well as risk factors for chronic kidney disease in the hypertensive patients were identified. Results Among the 350 patients enrolled in this study, there were 71 (20.29%) with proteinuria, 32 (9.14%) with hematuria, and 40 (11.43%) with decreased renal function. A total of 80 (22.86%) cases with structural variations such as kidney stones and cysts were detected by renal B-mode ultrasound. There were 121 (34.57%) patients with hypertension and chronic kidney disease. There were statistically significant differences in gender, age, diabetes, hyperlipidemia and hyperuricemia between patients with chronic kidney disease and those without (P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis results showed that gender, age, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, and hyperuricemia were the risk factors for chronic kidney disease in patients with hypertension (P<0.05). Conclusion Patients with 10 years of hypertension have a high risk of chronic kidney disease, and the risk factors include gender, age, diabetes, hyperuricemia, and hyperlipidemia.

Objective To analyze the detection rate and risk factors of pulmonary infection in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). Methods A total of 308 patients with AECOPD hospitalized at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu Medical College were selected from October 2020 to October 2023 as the research subjects. The incidence of pulmonary infections was analyzed, and univariate and logistic multivariate regression analyses were conducted to identify the risk factors of pulmonary infections. Results Among the 308 patients with AECOPD, 155 cases (50.32%) had pulmonary infection and were selected as the infected group, and 153 cases without pulmonary infection were included in the uninfected group. There were no obvious differences in gender, body mass index, education level, drinking history, hypertension, heart failure and malnutrition between the two groups (P>0.05). There were significant differences between the two groups in age, hospitalization time, mechanical ventilation history, smoking history, glucocorticoid use time, and diabetes mellitus (P<0.05). Logistic analysis showed that the ORs of pulmonary infection risk in AECOPD patients with age ≥ 60 years old, hospitalization time ≥ 14 days, mechanical ventilation history, glucocorticoid use time ≥ 7 days, diabetes mellitus, and smoking history were 2.740 (1.024-7.330), 4.586 (2.318-9.071), 3.971 (1.806-8.731), 3.264 (1.419-7.508), 2.680 (1.012-7.100), and 2.826 (1.156-6.909), respectively. Conclusion The risk of pulmonary infection is high in AECOPD patients, which is influenced by factors such as age, hospitalization time, mechanical ventilation history, smoking history, and glucocorticoid use time. Clinical screening should be focused on the above indicators and active prevention and treatment measures should be taken to reduce the occurrence of pulmonary infection.