1.Epidemiological analysis and incidence trend prediction of mumps in Nantong City in 2016 - 2023
Enhui ZHAO ; Ye WEI ; Hongmei JIN ; Wuhong ZHANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(2):84-88
Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics and incidence trend of mumps in Nantong City from 2016 to 2023, and to provide a basis for scientific prevention and control. Methods Descriptive statistical analysis was conducted on monthly mumps incidence data in Nantong City from 2016 to 2023, and a SARIMA model was constructed to predict the incidence trend. Results A total of 3 928 mumps cases were reported in Nantong City from 2016 to 2023, with an average annual incidence rate of 6.36/100 000. Cases predominantly occurred during April–July and September–December, showing seasonal peaks. The male-to-female ratio was 1.43:1. The cases were concentrated in individuals aged ≤15 years (85.57%), primarily students, children in childcare settings, and scattered children (88.31%). The optimal model constructed by the SPSS Expert Modeler was SARIMA(1,0,0)(0,1,1)12, predicting an epidemic peak of mumps in Nantong City from September to November in the second half of 2024. Conclusion From 2016 to 2023, mumps incidence in Nantong City has shown an overall downward trend with a seasonal bimodal distribution. Males had higher incidence rates than females, and cases were predominantly students, kindergartens and scattered children, highlighting the need to strengthen mumps prevention in schools and childcare institutions. The SARIMA model is suitable for short to medium term prediction of mumps in Nantong City. A minor peak is predicted to occur in the second half of 2024 (September–November). It is necessary to strengthen the epidemic surveillance of mumps and vaccination of age-eligible children.
2.Preliminary evaluation of the effect of comprehensive health management on the prevention and treatment of ischemic stroke
Shuai ZHU ; Genming ZHAO ; Yiying ZHANG ; Dongni LIANG ; Hongjie YU ; Qian PENG ; Fang XIANG ; Na WANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(2):89-93
Objective To evaluate the short-term effects of comprehensive health management interventions for stroke high-risk population screening on the prevention and treatment of ischemic stroke, and to provide reference and basis for improving and exploring health management and prevention strategies for stroke high-risk population. Methods From 2018 to 2022, 13 community health service centers in Jiading District, Shanghai were selected in the present study. Based on information push platform, stroke risk assessment and health intervention follow-up were conducted for community residents through convenience sampling. The residents were divided into a full course intervention group (intervention group) and a routine intervention group (control group) according to different health intervention measures and forms. The incidence of ischemic stroke in the two groups of survey subjects was tracked within 36 months. Results A total of 52144 subjects were included in the study. The total number of patients in the full course intervention group was 14227, with an incidence density of 577.32/100 000 (556.49/100 000-598.12/100 000), which was lower than that of the conventional intervention group (37 917), with an incidence density of 1 485.47/100 000 (1 464.99/100 000-1 505.94/100 000) (χ2=2490.212, P<0.001). The relative risk of the full course intervention group was 0.39, and the relative risk of stroke risk factors in the full course intervention group from low to high was 0.33, 0.43, 0.45, and 0.49, respectively. The incidence density of males in the full course intervention group was 660.76 (627.46/100 000 - 694.05/100 000), with a relative risk of 0.43, and the incidence density of female patients was 509.71/100 000 (483.37/100 000 - 536.05/100 000), with a relative risk of 0.35. The overall incidence density of the population under 62 years old gourp, 62-75 years old group and over 75 years old group was 197.45/100 000 (173.09/100 000 -221.80/100 000), 608.36/100 000 (580.19/100 000-636.54/100 000), and 1 025.06/100 000 (958.51/100 000-1 091.61/100 000), with relative risks of 0.51, 0.44, and 0.38, respectively. Conclusion Comprehensive health management measures can effectively reduce the short-term risk of ischemic stroke, and should be further promoted and improved to enhance the effectiveness of stroke prevention and control.
3.Impact of rapid antiviral therapy on HIV/AIDS mortality outcomes in Wuhan
Jie DING ; Xuejiao HU ; Han YAN ; Rong HU ; Pulin LIU
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(2):94-98
Objective To analyze the situation of rapid antiretroviral therapy (ART) and death of HIV/AIDS in Wuhan from 1994 to 2023, and to provide a scientific basis for further rapid initiation of ART and reduction of mortality rate. Methods According to the case follow-up and treatment database of China AIDS Prevention and Control Information System, data were obtained from all the cases reported from January 1, 1994 to December 31, 2023 with the current address in Wuhan City and the review status of the final review card. The data were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards models. Results The total mortality rate of HIV/AIDS in Wuhan from 1994 to 2023 was 12.76%. The proportion of receiving antiretroviral therapy within 30 days increased year by year, and the mortality rate decreased year by year. After adjusting for sex, age, occupation, ethnicity, education level, mobile population, history of STD, route of infection, source of sample, and first CD4 value, receiving antiretroviral therapy within 30 days (HR=0.08, 95%CI: 0.07-0.10) was a protective factor for HIV/AIDS mortality. Conclusion Rapid antiretroviral therapy can significantly reduce the risk of HIV/AIDS death. A sustainable model of rapid initiation of antiretroviral therapy should be further established to increase the proportion of rapid antiretroviral therapy for HIV/AIDS in Wuhan.
4.Muscle mass reduction and exercise training intervention in non-obese patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus
Ruihua ZHANG ; Yihan WEI ; Jing XU ; Lina JIANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(2):99-103
Objective To investigate muscle mass reduction and the effect of exercise training intervention in non-obese patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM). Methods A total of 324 non-obese patients with T2DM admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University were enrolled from February 2023 to February 2025. Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry was adopted to detect and analyze the data of appendicular skeletal muscle index (ASMI). Non-obese T2DM patients were classified into an observation group (n=162, receive sports training intervention) and a control group (n=162, receiving routine exercise intervention) by adopting random number grouping criteria. Both groups were intervened for 3 months. The muscle mass indicators [ASMI, body mass index (BMI), and body fat rate], exercise ability [6-minute walking distance (6MWD), grip strength, and one-leg standing time], metabolic indicators [fasting plasma glucose (FPG), glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c), and homeostasis model assessment insulin resistance index (HOMA-IR)], and quality of life [Diabetes Quality of Life Scale (DQOL)] were compared between the two groups to evaluate the effectiveness of sports training intervention. Results A total of 324 non-obese T2DM patients were enrolled, including 123 cases with reduced muscle mass (37.96%). There were no significant differences in the baseline data and the proportion of patients with muscle mass reduction between the two groups before intervention (P>0.05). After intervention, the ASMI, 6MWD, grip strength, and one-leg standing time in the observation group were higher or longer than those of the control group (P<0.05), while the body fat rate, FPG, HbA1c, HOMA-IR and DQOL scores were lower than those of the control group (P<0.05). Conclusion The incidence of muscle mass reduction is relatively high among non-obese T2DM patients, and exercise training intervention has significant effects on improving muscle mass, metabolic status, exercise capacity and quality of life in non-obese T2DM patients.
5.Clinical characteristics and prognostic factors of hypertriglyceridemia acute pancreatitis
Yuanyuan LIU ; Zhuo DIAO ; Gang LI ; Hongliang SHANG ; Zhuo ZHANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(2):104-107
Objective To explore the clinical characteristics and related prognostic factors of hypertriglyceridemia acute pancreatitis (HTG-AP). Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 350 patients with HTG-AP admitted to HanZhong Central Hospital from March 2019 to March 2024. All patients received conventional treatment. They were followed up for one year after treatment. The prognosis of the patients was statistically analyzed, and logistic regression was used to analyze the related factors of prognosis. Results HTG-AP patients had an acute onset, with clinical symptoms of sudden upper abdominal pain (329/350), nausea and vomiting (275/350), acidosis (101/350), and multiple organ failure (38/350). All patients had elevated serum TG. During the follow-up period, 123 cases had a poor prognosis (poor prognosis group), and 227 cases had a good prognosis (good prognosis group). Compared with the good prognosis group, the patients in the poor prognosis group had higher levels of TG, creatinine and C-reactive protein at admission, lower levels of serum calcium and albumin, and higher proportions of diabetes mellitus history and severe conditions (P<0.05). Logistic regression analysis found that the factors related to the prognosis of patients with HTG-AP were TG level, C-reactive protein level, albumin level, history of diabetes mellitus, and moderate to severe condition (P<0.05). Conclusion HTG-AP patients have an acute onset and have main clinical symptoms of sudden upper abdominal pain, nausea and vomiting. Some patients experience systemic inflammatory reactions such as acidosis and multiple organ failure, and they may also have significantly increased serum TG. TG, C-reactive protein, albumin, history of diabetes mellitus, and severe disease conditions are associated with the prognosis of HTG-AP patients.
6.Relationship between protein intake level and inflammation in patients with diabetic kidney disease and its influence on prognosis
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(2):108-111
Objective To analyze the relationship of protein intake level with high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) in patients with diabetic kidney disease (DKD) and its influence on prognosis. Methods A total of 325 patients with DKD admitted from June 2021 to June 2024 were included and classified into a low protein group and a high protein group. The levels of hs-CRP, IL-6, and TNF-α were compared between the two groups of patients before follow-up and after 1 year of follow-up. The correlation was analyzed by linear mixed model. The incidence of endpoint events during follow-up and disease progression-free survival time were compared between the two groups. Results The inflammatory indicators exhibited no statistical differences between the two groups before follow-up (P>0.05). After 1 year of follow-up, the levels of hs-CRP, IL-6, and TNF-α in the two groups were higher than those before follow-up, and the levels in the high protein group were higher than those in the low protein group (P<0.05). Linear mixed model analysis suggested that the protein intake level, time, and the interaction term of protein intake level × time were correlated with the changes of hs-CRP, IL-6 and TNF-α levels (P<0.05). The incidence rate of endpoint events in the high-protein group during follow-up was 24.84% (40/161), which was significantly higher than 12.80% (21/164) in the low-protein group (χ2=7.724, P=0.005). The disease progression-free survival time was longer in the low-protein group than that in the high-protein group (Log Rank χ2=9.007, P=0.003). Conclusion The level of protein intake in patients with diabetic kidney disease is closely related to inflammatory response and prognosis.
7.Relationship between retinol binding protein, lipoprotein (a), and obesity and the risk of cardiovascular disease in prehypertensive population
Jingjing LI ; Cheng DUAN ; Yuanyuan YAO
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(2):112-115
Objective To explore the relationship between levels of retinol binding protein (RBP) and lipoprotein (a) [Lp(a)], and obesity and the occurrence risk of cardiovascular disease in population with prehypertension (PH). Methods A total of 301 patients with PH who were admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui University of Science and Technology for physical examination from July 2021 to July 2024 were selected as the study subjects. The levels of serum RBP and Lp(a) were determined, and the waist circumference (WC) and body mass index (BMI) were measured to evaluate the obesity of patients. All patients were followed up. According to whether cardiovascular disease occurred during the follow-up period, they were classified into a study group (with cardiovascular disease) and a control group (without cardiovascular disease). The effects of serum RBP and Lp(a) levels, WC and BMI on the risk of cardiovascular disease were analyzed. Results The follow-up results showed that 53 out of 301 cases developed cardiovascular disease. The levels of RBP, Lp(a), WC, and BMI in the study group were higher than those in the control group (P<0.05). Receiver operating characteristic curve revealed that the areas under the curves of RBP, Lp(a), WC, and BMI for predicting the cardiovascular disease were 0.823, 0.741, 0.768, and 0.841, respectively. Serum RBP, Lp(a), WC, and BMI were influencing factors of the occurrence of cardiovascular disease (P<0.05). Conclusion RBP, Lp(a), WC, and BMI are the influencing factors for the occurrence of cardiovascular disease in patients with prehypertension. These four indicators have certain predictive value on the occurrence of cardiovascular disease.
8.The relationship between triglyceride glucose-body mass index and cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in middle-aged and elderly people
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(2):116-119
Objective To explore the association between triglyceride glucose-body mass index (TyG-BMI) and the risk of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in middle-aged and elderly (aged≥45 years) people, and to provide a scientific basis for the prevention and control of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. Methods A total of 859 patients with cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases who were hospitalized in the Department of General Medicine of Heping Hospital affiliated to Changzhi Medical College from January 2020 to November 2024 were selected as the observation group, and 859 patients with non-cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases hospitalized during the same period were selected and matched 1:1 by age (±2 years) and gender as the control group. The TyG-BMI index was compared between the two groups,and the TyG-BMI was divided into three groups according to the control group quartile: low-level group (Q1:< P25), medium-level group (Q2:P25-P75), and high-level group (Q3:>P75). The relationship between the TyG-BMI and the risk of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases was analyzed by conditional logistic regression. Results The TyG-BMI score in the case group was significantly higher than that in the control group (t=14.944,P<0.001), with the most significant difference in the age group of 45-55 years old (t=14.276, P<0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that each unit increase in the TyG-BMI index was associated with a 1.406-fold increased risk of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular disease (95% CI: 1.231-2.301). The analysis of different index levels showed that compared with low-level TyG-BMI, the risk of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases was higher at medium or high TyG-BMI. The subgroup analysis showed that the TyG-BMI index only had an effect on cardiovascular disease (OR=1.472, 95%CI: 1.141-3.032). Conclusion The TyG-BMI is positively correlated with the occurrence of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in middle-aged and elderly people, with a stronger association with cardiovascular disease.
9.Relationship between uric acid, visceral fat thickness and insulin resistance in elderly patients with hypertriglyceridemia
Yueping ZHAO ; Qi ZHANG ; Ming LIU
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(2):120-123
Objective To explore the relationship between uric acid, visceral fat thickness and insulin resistance in elderly patients with hypertriglyceridemia (HTG). Methods A total of 347 elderly patients with HTG admitted to the hospital from January 2021 to January 2025 were retrospectively selected, and the related factors of insulin resistance in elderly HTG were analyzed. Results Among the 347 elderly patients with HTG, 218 cases had insulin resistance and 129 cases did not develop insulin resistance, and were included in the insulin resistance group (n=218) and the non-insulin resistance group (n=129) respectively. Compared with the non-insulin resistance group, patients in the insulin resistance group had higher proportions of severe HTG and concurrent fatty liver, higher levels of IL-6, TNF- α, FFA and uric acid, and thicker visceral fat thickness (P<0.05). After logistic regression analysis, it was found that the related factors for insulin resistance in elderly patients with HTG included the severity of HTG, IL-6, FFA, uric acid, and visceral fat thickness (P<0.05). Conclusion The severity of HTG, IL-6, FFA, uric acid, and visceral fat thickness are related to insulin resistance in elderly HTG patients. Clinically, it is necessary to pay attention to targeted interventions for uric acid control and visceral fat reduction in elderly patients with HTG so as to improve the insulin resistance status.
10.Relationship between visceral fat area and glucolipid metabolism indexes and insulin resistance in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus complicated with obesity
Chengshan YOU ; Hongfang ZHOU ; Cuiping LIU
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(2):124-127
Objective To explore the relationship of visceral fat area (VFA) with glucolipid metabolism indexes and insulin resistance (IR) in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) complicated with obesity. Methods A total of 315 T2DM patients with obesity who were admitted to the hospital from April 2022 to August 2025 were retrospectively selected. The VFA of all patients was measured by bioelectrical impedance analysis method. According to VFA, the patients were classified into VFA≥100 cm2 group (n=204) and VFA<100 cm2 group (n=111). The glucolipid metabolism indexes [fasting plasma glucose (FPG), glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c), triacylglycerol (TG), total cholesterol (TC), low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C)] and IR index [homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance based on C-peptide (HOMA-IR(CP))] were detected and compared between both groups of patients. Spearman correlation method was utilized to analyze the correlation between VFA and glucolipid metabolism indexes and HOMA-IR(CP). The independent related factors of VFA were explored by logistic regression analysis. Results According to VFA results of 315 patients after admission, 204 cases (64.76%) had VFA≥100 cm2 and 111 cases (35.24%) had VFA<100 cm2. Compared with the VFA<100 cm2 group, the FPG, HbA1c, TG, TC, LDL-C and HOMA-IR(CP) in the VFA≥100 cm2 group were higher (P<0.05) while the HDL-C was lower (P<0.05). Spearman correlation revealed that VFA≥100 cm2 was positively correlated with FPG, HbA1c, TG, TC, LDL-C and HOMA-IR(CP) (P<0.001), and was negatively correlated with HDL-C (P<0.001). After logistic regression analysis, it was found that FPG, TG, HDL-C, HOMA-IR(CP) and body mass index (BMI) were independent related factors of VFA≥100 cm2 (P<0.05). Conclusion VFA is closely related to glucolipid metabolism and IR in T2DM patients with obesity. FPG, TG, HDL-C, HOMA-IR(CP) and BMI are independent related factors affecting VFA≥100 cm2. However, given the cross-sectional design of this study, the causal timing of this association cannot be determined and needs to be further verified by prospective cohort studies.


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