BACKGROUND

Pediatric Early Warning Scores (PEWS) help identify children at risk of clinical deterioration, but their accuracy across diverse settings, populations, interventions, and outcomes remains unexplored.

To determine the accuracy of PEWS in detecting clinical deterioration events (CDE) among pediatric patients seen at the emergency department (ED).

Retrospective cohort study.

Pediatric patients aged 1 month to 18 years seen at the ED.

Southern Philippines Medical Center Emergency Department, Davao City, Philippines from January 2021 to December 2022.

Area under the curve (AUC) of PEWS in detecting CDE; Brighton PEWS optimal cut-off and its sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), positive likelihood ratio (+LR), and negative likelihood ratio (-LR).

Among the 345 patients, 56 experienced CDE and 289 did not. Patients with CDE had significantly lower median age (1.00 year vs 5.00 years; p < 0.001), oxygen saturation (93.00% vs 98.00%; p < 0.001), and pediatric Glasgow Coma Scale scores (8.00 vs 15.00; p < 0.0001) compared to those without CDE. Heart rate (135.00 vs 111.00 beats per minute; p < 0.001), and respiratory rate (32.50 vs 24.00 breaths per minute; p < 0.001) were significantly higher in patients with CDE. The two groups also differed significantly in terms of comorbidity distribution (p < 0.001) and diagnosis (p < 0.001). The AUC of Brighton PEWS was 0.9064 (95% CI 0.8716 to 0.9357), with an optimal cut-off score of ≥4.00. This threshold yielded 76.79% sensitivity, 88.58% specificity, 56.60% PPV, 95.20% NPV, 6.72 LR+, and 0.26 LR-.

The Brighton PEWS demonstrates strong diagnostic accuracy in predicting CDE among pediatric patients. A cut-off score of ≥4.00 offers a balanced combination of sensitivity, specificity, and likelihood ratios for ED application.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Patients with liver cirrhosis have an increased risk for poor postoperative outcomes after non-hepatic surgery, with liver dysfunction being the most important predictor of poor outcomes. This study aims to determine the association of the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, aspartate aminotransferase-platelet ratio index (APRI) score, and ALBI-APRI score with postoperative outcomes among cirrhotic patients who have undergone non-hepatic surgery.

This was a retrospective cohort study involving 34 patients. Age, ASA class, urgency of surgery, etiology of liver cirrhosis, preoperative Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, ALBI grade, APRI score, and ALBI-APRI score were documented. The outcomes analyzed were postoperative hepatic decompensation (POHD) and in-hospital mortality. Bivariate analysis using the Mann-Whitney U test and Fisher’s exact test was performed. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to compare the ability of the liver scoring systems to predict the occurrence of study outcomes. Binary logistic regression was performed to measure the odds ratio.

The ALBI grade and ALBI-APRI score were significantly associated with both POHD and in-hospital mortality. Both scores were non-inferior to the CTP and MELD scores in predicting study outcomes. Compared to CTP and MELD scores, the ALBI grade was more sensitive but less specific in predicting POHD and as sensitive but more specific in predicting in-hospital mortality. The ALBI-APRI score was less sensitive but more specific than the ALBI grade in predicting both POHD and in-hospital mortality.

The ALBI grade and ALBI-APRI score were both associated with postoperative hepatic decompensation and in-hospital mortality and were noninferior to the CTP score and MELD score in predicting short-term in-hospital outcomes among cirrhotic patients after non-hepatic surgery.

Background and Objective: Several studies have examined the predictors of mortality among COVID-19-infected patients; however, to date, few published studies focused on end-stage renal disease patients. The present study,therefore, aims to determine the predictors of in-hospital mortality among end-stage renal disease patients with COVID-19 admitted to a Philippine tertiary hospital. Methods: The researcher utilized a retrospective cohort design. A total of 449 adult end-stage renal disease patients on renal replacement therapy diagnosed with moderate-to-severe COVID-19 and were admitted at the National Kidney and Transplant Institute from June 2020 to 2021 were included. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine the factors associated with in-hospital mortality. Results: In-hospital mortality among end-stage renal disease patients with COVID-19 was 31.18% (95% CI: 26.92- 35.69%). Older age (OR=1.03), male sex (OR=0.56), diabetes mellitus (OR=1.80), coronary artery disease (OR=1.71), encephalopathy (OR=7.58), and intubation (OR=30.78) were associated with in-hospital mortality. Conclusion Patients with ESRD and COVID-19 showed a high in-hospital mortality rate. Older age, diabetes mellitus, coronary artery disease, encephalopathy, and intubation increased the odds of mortality. Meanwhile, males had lower odds of mortality than females.
COVID-19 ; Kidney Failure, Chronic ; Hospital Mortality ; Renal Replacement Therapy

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

A growing body of evidence supports that inflammatory mechanisms are involved in secondary brain injury after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) which has implications on the morbidity and mortality of stroke patients. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a comprehensive index marker of inflammation and immune status of a patient. The prognostic value of NLR in predicting in-hospital mortality and functional outcome of patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage will be assessed in this study.

We retrospectively selected 151 hemorrhagic stroke patients, and demographic and clinical characteristics were collected and computed for NLR. Receiver operating characteristic analysis using Youden’s index was utilized to determine the NLR cut-off value with the best sensitivity and specificity. The association of NLR with the inhospital mortality and functional outcome was assessed using Logistic regression analysis. Pearson Product Model Correlation was employed to evaluate the correlation of NLR with ICH volume.

Admission NLR >7 showed a significant association (p = <0.001 OR 7.99) with in-hospital mortality with a sensitivity of 70.83% and specificity of 72.82%. Furthermore, computed NLR of more than 6.4 showed significant association (p = 0.040 OR 2.92) with poor functional outcome. However, our study revealed that admission NLR showed a low level of correlation (r=0.2968, p=0.002) with the volume of ICH.

This study demonstrated that ICH patients with an elevated NLR is associated with increased inhospital mortality and poor functional outcome and that NLR can be used to predict clinical outcome among patients with spontaneous ICH.

Background and Objective: Patients with liver cirrhosis have an increased risk for poor postoperative outcomes after non-hepatic surgery, with liver dysfunction being the most important predictor of poor outcomes. This study aims to determine the association of the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, aspartate aminotransferase-platelet ratio index (APRI) score, and ALBI-APRI score with postoperative outcomes among cirrhotic patients who have undergone non-hepatic surgery. Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study involving 34 patients. Age, ASA class, urgency of surgery, etiology of liver cirrhosis, preoperative Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, ALBI grade, APRI score, and ALBI-APRI score were documented. The outcomes analyzed were postoperative hepatic decompensation (POHD) and in-hospital mortality. Bivariate analysis using the Mann-Whitney U test and Fisher’s exact test was performed. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to compare the ability of the liver scoring systems to predict the occurrence of study outcomes. Binary logistic regression was performed to measure the odds ratio. Results: The ALBI grade and ALBI-APRI score were significantly associated with both POHD and in-hospital mortality. Both scores were non-inferior to the CTP and MELD scores in predicting study outcomes. Compared to CTP and MELD scores, the ALBI grade was more sensitive but less specific in predicting POHD and as sensitive but more specific in predicting in-hospital mortality. The ALBI-APRI score was less sensitive but more specific than the ALBI grade in predicting both POHD and in-hospital mortality. Conclusions The ALBI grade and ALBI-APRI score were both associated with postoperative hepatic decompensation and in-hospital mortality and were noninferior to the CTP score and MELD score in predicting short-term in-hospital outcomes among cirrhotic patients after non-hepatic surgery.
liver cirrhosis ; in-hospital mortality ; hospital mortality

Background: The quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score was introduced by Sepsis-3 or the Third International Consensus Definitions for Sepsis and Septic Shock to help physicians in identifying patients outside the intensive care unit with suspected infection who are at high risk for in-hospital mortality. However, sepsis is not a homogenous entity and the outcomes vary based on several factors. This study aimed to determine the predictive accuracy of qSOFA in identifying those at high-risk of in-hospital mortality among adult patients with sepsis secondary to urinary tract infection. Methodology: A retrospective cohort study was done involving the use of qSOFA score to predict in-hospital mortality of adult patients with a diagnosis of sepsis secondary to urinary tract infection, admitted in the hospital from January 1, 2013 to December 31, 2020. qSOFA is computed based on the following independent variables: systolic blood pressure (SBP), respiratory rate (RR), and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS). Results: Of the 128 charts retrieved, 121 patients were included in the study. Fifteen (12.40%) died while 106 (87.60%) survived. Mean age was 60.76 years old, with more females (71.90%) than males (28.10%). Hypertension and Diabetes Mellitus Type 2 were the most frequent comorbidities. Complicated UTI was the most frequent source of infection. Mean length of stay was 8.29 days. Forty (33.06%) patients had qSOFA ≥ 2 wherein 11 (27.5%) died. Diagnostic performance results revealed: sensitivity (73.33%), specificity (72.64%), positive (27.5%) and negative (95.06%) predictive values, and positive (2.68) and negative (0.37) likelihood ratios. qSOFA accuracy was 72.73% with an AUROC of 0.76. Conclusion Among the admitted adult patients with sepsis secondary to a UTI, qSOFA had a good prognostic accuracy for in-hospital mortality.
Sepsis ; Urinary Tract Infections ; Hospital Mortality

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Several studies have examined the predictors of mortality among COVID-19-infected patients; however, to date, few published studies focused on end-stage renal disease patients. The present study,therefore, aims to determine the predictors of in-hospital mortality among end-stage renal disease patients with COVID-19 admitted to a Philippine tertiary hospital.

The researcher utilized a retrospective cohort design. A total of 449 adult end-stage renal disease patients on renal replacement therapy diagnosed with moderate-to-severe COVID-19 and were admitted at the National Kidney and Transplant Institute from June 2020 to 2021 were included. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine the factors associated with in-hospital mortality.

In-hospital mortality among end-stage renal disease patients with COVID-19 was 31.18% (95% CI: 26.92- 35.69%). Older age (OR=1.03), male sex (OR=0.56), diabetes mellitus (OR=1.80), coronary artery disease (OR=1.71), encephalopathy (OR=7.58), and intubation (OR=30.78) were associated with in-hospital mortality.

Patients with ESRD and COVID-19 showed a high in-hospital mortality rate. Older age, diabetes mellitus, coronary artery disease, encephalopathy, and intubation increased the odds of mortality. Meanwhile, males had lower odds of mortality than females.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the clinical value of hemoglobin to serum creatinine ratio (Hb/SCr) combined with blood uric acid (SUA) in predicting in-hospital mortality after emergency percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). METHODS: The clinical data of AMI patients who underwent emergency PCI in the First Affiliated Hospital of Kangda College of Nanjing Medical University from January 2017 to December 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. The general information, underlying medical history, blood routine, liver and kidney function, blood coagulation routine, SUA and other indicators were collected from patients. The primary composite endpoint was defined as in-hospital death, including in-hospital all-cause death during PCI and 15-day post-procedure hospitalization. Multivariate Logistic regression was used to analyze factors associated with in-hospital death after emergency PCI in patients with AMI. Multivariate Logistic regression was used to analyze the independent related factors and construct a risk prediction model. The Hosmer-Lemeshow method and receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) were used to test the goodness of fit and predictive effect of the model and correlates, respectively. RESULTS: A total of 1 976 patients were enrolled, 92 died in hospital and 1 884 survived. SUA was higher in the death group than that in the survival group (μmol/L: 476.88±132.04 vs. 354.87±105.31, P < 0.01), and the Hb/SCr ratio was significantly lower than that in the survival group (13.84±5.48 vs.19.20±5.74, P < 0.01). Pearson analysis showed a linear negative correlation between SUA and Hb/SCr ratio (r = -0.502, P < 0.01). Logistic regression risk model analysis finally included age [odds ratio (OR) = 0.916], Hb/SCr ratio (OR = 0.182), white blood cell count (WBC, OR = 2.733), C-reactive protein (CRP, OR = 3.611), SUA (OR = 4.667), blood glucose (Glu, OR = 2.726), homocysteine (Hcy, OR = 2.688) 7 factors to construct a risk prediction model, which were independent correlation factors for in-hospital death in AMI patients after emergency PCI (all P < 0.05). Hosmer-Lemeshow test verified the fitting effect of the model, and the result showed P = 0.447. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the model for predicting in-hospital death in AMI patients after emergency PCI was 0.764 [95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.712-0.816, P = 0.001]. When the cut-off value was 0.565 8, the sensitivity was 70.7%, the specificity was 70.2%, and the Yoden index was 0.410. When Hb/SCr ratio+SUA, SUA, Hb/SCr ratio, Hb and SCr were used to predict in-hospital death in AMI patients after emergency PCI, the AUC of Hb/SCr ratio+SUA was the largest, which was 0.810. When the optimal cut-off value was -0.847, the sensitivity was 77.7%, the specificity was 74.5%, and the Youden index was 0.522. CONCLUSIONS Age, SUA, Hb/SCr ratio, WBC, CRP, Glu, and Hcy are independent risk factors for in-hospital death after emergency PCI in AMI patients. The lower the Hb/SCr ratio and the higher the SUA at admission, the higher the risk of in-hospital death after emergency PCI in AMI patients. Hb/SCr ratio combined with SUA has a higher predictive value for in-hospital death after emergency PCI in AMI patients than single index, which is helpful for early identification of high-risk patients.
Humans ; Hospital Mortality ; Uric Acid ; Creatinine ; Percutaneous Coronary Intervention ; Retrospective Studies ; Myocardial Infarction/therapy* ; Prognosis

OBJECTIVE: To explore the effect of thrombocytopenia on the prognosis of patients with septic shock and its mechanism in leading to death. METHODS: A retrospective case-control study was conducted. Patients with septic shock admitted to emergency intensive care unit (EICU) and intensive care unit (ICU) in Peking University People's Hospital from April 1, 2015 to January 31, 2023 were enrolled. Patients were divided into the thrombocytopenia group and the non-thrombocytopenia group, according to whether the minimum platelet count was less than 100×10⁹/L within 24 hours after admission to ICU. The outcome index was the mortality during ICU stay. The baseline data, hospitalization information and laboratory test results of the two groups were compared, and the risk factors of in-hospital death were analyzed by Logistic regression, and the mediation effect was performed by Bootstrap method. RESULTS: A total of 301 patients with septic shock were enrolled, of which 172 (57.1%) had thrombocytopenia and 129 (42.9%) did not. There were significant differences between the two groups in age, mortality, disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC), continuous renal replacement therapy, and level of creatinine, urea nitrogen, total bilirubin, white blood cell count, lymphocyte count, prothrombin time (PT) and activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT). Univariate Logistic regression analysis showed thrombocytopenia [odds ratio (OR) = 4.478], continuous renal replacement therapy (OR = 4.601), DIC (OR = 6.248), serum creatinine (OR = 1.005), urea nitrogen (OR = 1.126), total bilirubin (OR = 1.006) and PT (OR = 1.126) were risk factors of death during hospitalization in patients with septic shock (all P < 0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that thrombocytopenia [OR = 3.338, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.910-5.834, P = 0.000], continuous renal replacement therapy (OR = 3.175, 95%CI was 1.576-6.395, P = 0.001) and PT (OR = 1.077, 95%CI was 1.011-1.147, P = 0.021) were independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality in patients with septic shock. Mediation analysis showed that 51% of the deaths due to thrombocytopenia in patients with septic shock were due to coagulopathy. CONCLUSIONS Thrombocytopenia is a powerful predictor of death in septic shock patients, and half of all thrombocytopenia-related deaths may be due to abnormal coagulation function.
Humans ; Shock, Septic ; Retrospective Studies ; Case-Control Studies ; Hospital Mortality ; Prognosis ; Thrombocytopenia ; Intensive Care Units ; Bilirubin ; Nitrogen ; Urea ; Sepsis

BACKGROUND: Limited data are available on the changes in the quality of care for ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) during China's health system reform from 2009 to 2020. This study aimed to assess the changes in care processes and outcome for STEMI patients in Henan province of central China between 2011 and 2018. METHODS: We compared the data from the Henan STEMI survey conducted in 2011-2012 ( n = 1548, a cross-sectional study) and the Henan STEMI registry in 2016-2018 ( n = 4748, a multicenter, prospective observational study). Changes in care processes and in-hospital mortality were determined. Process of care measures included reperfusion therapies, aspirin, P2Y12 antagonists, β-blockers, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers, and statins. Therapy use was analyzed among patients who were considered ideal candidates for treatment. RESULTS: STEMI patients in 2016-2018 were younger (median age: 63.1 vs . 63.8 years) with a lower proportion of women (24.4% [1156/4748] vs . 28.2% [437/1548]) than in 2011-2012. The composite use rate for guideline-recommended treatments increased significantly from 2011 to 2018 (60.9% [5424/8901] vs . 82.7% [22,439/27,129], P <0.001). The proportion of patients treated by reperfusion within 12 h increased from 44.1% (546/1237) to 78.4% (2698/3440) ( P <0.001) with a prolonged median onset-to-first medical contact time (from 144 min to 210 min, P <0.001). The use of antiplatelet agents, statins, and β-blockers increased significantly. The risk of in-hospital mortality significantly decreased over time (6.1% [95/1548] vs . 4.2% [198/4748], odds ratio [OR]: 0.67, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.50-0.88, P = 0.005) after adjustment. CONCLUSIONS Gradual implementation of the guideline-recommended treatments in STEMI patients from 2011 to 2018 has been associated with decreased in-hospital mortality. However, gaps persist between clinical practice and guideline recommendation. Public awareness, reperfusion strategies, and construction of chest pain centers need to be further underscored in central China.
Humans ; Female ; Middle Aged ; ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/drug therapy* ; Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors/therapeutic use* ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Aspirin/therapeutic use* ; Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors/therapeutic use* ; Adrenergic beta-Antagonists/therapeutic use* ; Hospital Mortality ; Registries ; Treatment Outcome ; Percutaneous Coronary Intervention