1.Construction of a Prognostic Risk Prediction Model for Multiple Myeloma Patients after Bortezomib Treatment Based on Decision Tree Algorithm.
Tao JIANG ; Yuan LUO ; Huan WANG ; Hui LI
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2025;33(5):1386-1391
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the influencing factors on the prognosis of patients with multiple myeloma (MM) after bortezomib treatment, and construct a decision tree risk prediction model based on the influencing factors.
METHODS:
One hundred and seventy MM patients admitted to the People's Hospital of Jianyang City from January 2019 to June 2022 were selected as research subjects, and divided into poor prognosis group and good prognosis group according to the prognosis after bortezomib treatment. The clinical data of the patients were analyzed, univariate and logistic regression analysis were used to screen influencing factors, SPSS Modeler software was used to construct a decision tree prediction model, and the diagnostic performance of the decision tree risk prediction model was analyzed.
RESULTS:
The incidence of poor prognosis in 170 MM patients after bortezomib-based chemotherapy was 21.18%. Kappa light chain level≥19.4 mg/L, platelet count (PLT) ≤100×109/L, homocysteine (Hcy) >22 μmol/L, serum creatinine (Scr) ≥176 μmol/L, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) ≥300 U/L, serum ferritin (SF) >500 mg/L, and β2-microglobulin (MG) >6 μg/L were independent risk factors for poor prognosis in MM patients after bortezomib treatment (all P < 0.05). The decision tree model selected 7 explanatory variables (Kappa light chain level, LDH, PLT, SF, β2-MG, Scr, and Hcy) as nodes of the model, among which Kappa light chain level was the most important predictor. In addition, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) values of the decision tree model and logistic regression model were 0.895 and 0.881, respectively. The prediction performance of the decision tree model was better than that of the logistic regression model ( Z=3.325, P =0.005).
CONCLUSION
The decision tree model has high value in predicting the prognosis after bortezomib treatment in MM patients, which can screen high-risk factors that affect poor prognosis, providing practical references for clinical healthcare professionals to take preventive treatment for high-risk MM patients.
Humans
;
Bortezomib/therapeutic use*
;
Multiple Myeloma/diagnosis*
;
Decision Trees
;
Prognosis
;
Algorithms
;
Risk Factors
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
2.Construction of risk prediction models of hypothermia after transurethral holmium laser enucleation of the prostate based on three machine learning algorithms.
Jun JIANG ; Shuo FENG ; Yingui SUN ; Yan AN
Journal of Southern Medical University 2025;45(9):2019-2025
OBJECTIVES:
To develop risk prediction models for postoperative hypothermia after transurethral holmium laser enucleation of the prostate (HoLEP) using machine learning algorithms.
METHODS:
We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 403 patients from our center (283 patients in the training set and 120in the internal validation set) and 120 patients from Weifang People's Hospital (as the external validation set). The risk prediction models were built using logistic regression, decision tree and support vector machine (SVM), and model performance was evaluated in terms of accuracy, recall, precision, F1 score and AUC.
RESULTS:
Operation duration, prostate weight, intraoperative irrigation volume, and being underweight were identified as the predictors of postoperative hypothermia following HoLEP. Among the 3 algorithms, SVM showed the best precision rate and accuracy in all the 3 data sets and the best area under the ROC (AUC) in the training set and validation set, followed by logistic regression, which had a similar AUC in the two data sets. SVM outperformed logistic regression and decision tree models in the validation set in precision, accuracy, recall, F1 score, and AUC, and performed well in the external validation set with better precision rate and accuracy than logistic regression and decision tree models but slightly lower recall rate, F1 index, and AUC value than the decision tree model. SVM outperformed logistic regression and decision tree models in precision, accuracy, F1 score, and AUC in the training set, but had slightly lower recall rate than the decision tree.
CONCLUSIONS
Among the 3 models, SVM has the best performance and generalizability for predicting post-HoLEP hypothermia risk to provide support for clinical decisions.
Humans
;
Male
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Machine Learning
;
Transurethral Resection of Prostate/adverse effects*
;
Hypothermia/etiology*
;
Prostatic Hyperplasia/surgery*
;
Algorithms
;
Lasers, Solid-State
;
Risk Assessment
;
Postoperative Complications
;
Decision Trees
;
Logistic Models
;
Aged
;
Middle Aged
;
Support Vector Machine
3.Machine learning-based prediction model for caries in the first molars of 9-year-old children in Suzhou.
Lingzhi CHEN ; Xiaqin WANG ; Kaifei ZHU ; Kun REN ; Zhen WU
West China Journal of Stomatology 2025;43(6):871-880
OBJECTIVES:
This study aimed to use machine learning algorithms to build a prediction model of the first permanent molar caries of 9-year-old children in Suzhou and screen out risk factors.
METHODS:
Random stratified whole group sampling was applied to randomly select 9-year-old students from 38 primary schools in 14 townships and streets in Wuzhong District for oral examination and questionnaire survey. Multifactor Logistics regression was used to analyze the risk factors of tooth decay. The data set was randomly divided into training sets and verification sets according to 8∶2, and R 4.3.1 was used to build five machine learning algorithms: random forest, decision tree, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), Logistics regression, and lightweight gradient enhancement (LightGBM). The predictive effect of these five models was evaluated using the area under the characteristic curve (AUC). The marginal contribution of quantitative characteristics to the caries prediction model was determined through Shapley additive explanations (SHAP).
RESULTS:
This study included 7 225 samples that met the standard. The caries rate of the first permanent molar was 54.96%. Multifactor Logistic regression analysis showed that sweet drinks, dessert and candy, snack frequency, and snacks before going to bed after brushing teeth were correlated with the occurrence of first permanent molar caries (P<0.05). The AUC values of decision tree, Logistic regression, LightGBM, random forest, and XGBoost were 75.5%, 83.9%, 88.6%, 88.9%, and 90.1%, respectively. Compared with the variables after single heat coding, the SHAP value of high-frequency sweets (such as dessert candy ≥2 times a day, mother's sugary diet ≥2 times a day) and bad oral hygiene habits (such as frequent snacks before going to bed after brushing teeth and irregular brushing teeth) exhibited the highest positive.
CONCLUSIONS
XGBoost algorithm has a good prediction effect for first permanent molar caries in 9-year-old children. High-frequency sweet factors and bad oral hygiene habits have a strong positive impact on the risk of first permanent molar caries and are key drivers that can be used in the formulation of targeted interventions.
Humans
;
Dental Caries/epidemiology*
;
Child
;
Machine Learning
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Molar
;
Risk Factors
;
Female
;
Logistic Models
;
Male
;
Decision Trees
;
Algorithms
4.Maxillary sinus floor augmentation: a review of current evidence on anatomical factors and a decision tree.
Mingyue LYU ; Dingyi XU ; Xiaohan ZHANG ; Quan YUAN
International Journal of Oral Science 2023;15(1):41-41
Maxillary sinus floor augmentation using lateral window and crestal technique is considered as predictable methods to increase the residual bone height; however, this surgery is commonly complicated by Schneiderian membrane perforation, which is closely related to anatomical factors. This article aimed to assess anatomical factors on successful augmentation procedures. After review of the current evidence on sinus augmentation techniques, anatomical factors related to the stretching potential of Schneiderian membrane were assessed and a decision tree for the rational choice of surgical approaches was proposed. Schneiderian membrane perforation might occur when local tension exceeds its stretching potential, which is closely related to anatomical variations of the maxillary sinus. Choice of a surgical approach and clinical outcomes are influenced by the stretching potential of Schneiderian membrane. In addition to the residual bone height, clinicians should also consider the stretching potential affected by the membrane health condition, the contours of the maxillary sinus, and the presence of antral septa when evaluating the choice of surgical approaches and clinical outcomes.
Sinus Floor Augmentation
;
Decision Trees
6.Analysis on influencing factors of HBV intrauterine transmission based on integration of decision tree model and logistic regression model.
Wen Xin CHEN ; Cong JIN ; Ting WANG ; Yan Di LI ; Shu Ying FENG ; Bo WANG ; Yong Liang FENG ; Su Ping WANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2022;43(1):85-91
Objective: To investigate the influencing factors of HBV intrauterine transmission and their interaction effects by integrating logistic regression model and Chi-squared automatic interaction detector (CHAID) decision tree model. Methods: A total of 689 pairs of HBsAg-positive mothers and their neonates in the obstetrics department of the Third People's Hospital of Taiyuan from 2007 to 2013 were enrolled, and the basic information of mothers and their neonates were obtained by questionnaire survey and medical record review, such as the general demographic characteristics, gestational week and delivery mode. HBV DNA and HBV serological markers of the mothers and newborns were detected by fluorescence quantitative PCR and electrochemiluminescence immunoassay respectively. The CHAID decision tree model and unconditional logistic regression analysis were used to explore the factors influencing HBV intrauterine transmission in neonates of HBsAg-positive mothers. Results: Among the 689 neonates, the incidence of HBV intrauterine transmission was 11.47% (79/689). After adjusted for confounding factors, the first and second logistic multivariate analysis showed that cesarean delivery was a protective factor for HBV intrauterine transmission (OR=0.25, 95%CI: 0.14-0.43; OR=0.27, 95%CI: 0.15-0.46); both models indicated that maternal HBeAg positivity and HBV DNA load ≥2×105 IU/ml before delivery were risk factors of HBV intrauterine transmission (OR=3.89, 95%CI: 2.32-6.51; OR=3.48, 95%CI: 2.12-5.71), respectively. The CHAID decision tree model screened three significant factors influencing HBV intrauterine transmission, the most significant one was maternal HBeAg status, followed by delivery mode and maternal HBV DNA load. There were interactions between maternal HBeAg status and delivery modes, as well as delivery mode and maternal HBV DNA load before delivery. The rate of HBV intrauterine transmission in newborns of HBeAg-positive mothers by vaginal delivery increased from 19.08% to 29.37%; among HBeAg-positive mothers with HBV DNA ≥2×105 IU/ml, the rate of HBV intrauterine transmission increased to 33.33% in the newborns by vaginal delivery. Conclusions: Maternal HBeAg positivity,maternal HBV DNA ≥2×105 IU/ml and vaginal delivery could be risk factors for HBV intrauterine transmission in newborns. Interaction effects were found between maternal HBeAg positivity and vaginal delivery, as well as vaginal delivery and high maternal HBV DNA load. Logistic regression model and the CHAID decision tree model can be used in conjunction to identify the high-risk populations and develop preventive strategies accurately.
DNA, Viral/genetics*
;
Decision Trees
;
Female
;
Hepatitis B Surface Antigens
;
Hepatitis B e Antigens
;
Hepatitis B virus/genetics*
;
Humans
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Infectious Disease Transmission, Vertical
;
Logistic Models
;
Mothers
;
Pregnancy
;
Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/epidemiology*
7.A prospective study of the decision tree prediction model for attention deficit hyperactivity disorder in preschool children.
Xin-Xin HUANG ; Ping OU ; Qin-Fang QIAN ; Yan HUANG ; Yan-Xia WANG
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2022;24(3):255-260
OBJECTIVES:
To study the clinical value of attention time combined with behavior scale in the screening of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in preschool children.
METHODS:
A total of 200 preschool children with ADHD diagnosed in Fujian Maternal and Child Health Hospital from February 2019 to March 2020 were enrolled as the ADHD group. A total of 200 children who underwent physical examination in the hospital or kindergartens during the same period were enrolled as the control group. Attention time was recorded. Chinese Version of Swanson Nolan and Pelham, Version IV Scale-Parent Form (SNAP-IV) scale was used to evaluate symptoms. With clinical diagnosis as the gold standard, the decision tree analysis was used to evaluate the clinical value of attention time combined with behavior scale in the screening of ADHD.
RESULTS:
Compared with the control group, the ADHD group had significantly higher scores of SNAP-IV items 1, 4, 7, 8, 10, 11, 14, 15, 16, 18, 20, 21, and 22 (P<0.05) and a significantly shorter attention time (P<0.05). The variables with statistically significant differences between the two groups in univariate analysis were used as independent variables to establish a decision tree model. The accuracy of the model in predicting ADHD was 81%, that in predicting non-ADHD was 69%, and the overall accuracy was 75%, with an area under the ROC curve of 0.816 (95% CI: 0.774-0.857, P<0.001).
CONCLUSIONS
The decision tree model for screening ADHD in preschool children based on attention time and assessment results of behavior scale has a high accuracy and can be used for rapid screening of ADHD among children in clinical practice.
Asians
;
Attention Deficit Disorder with Hyperactivity/diagnosis*
;
Child, Preschool
;
Decision Trees
;
Humans
;
Mass Screening
;
Prospective Studies
8.A Prediction Model of Factors related to Career Maturity in Korean High School Students
Child Health Nursing Research 2019;25(2):95-102
PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to identify factors associated with career maturity among Korean high school students. METHODS: A descriptive cross-sectional design was adopted using secondary data from the 2012 Korean Welfare Panel Study (KoWePS). The participants were 496 high school students who completed the supplemental survey for children, which included items on career maturity, self-esteem, study stress, teacher attachment, relationship with parents, peer attachment, depression and anxiety. Descriptive statistics, the chi-square-test, the t-test, and a decision tree were used for data analysis. RESULTS: The decision tree identified five final nodes predicting career maturity after forcing self-esteem as the first variable. The highest predicted rate of high career maturity was associated with high self-esteem, experience of career counseling, and high teacher attachment. The lowest predicted rate of high career maturity was associated with low self-esteem and low attachment to friends. CONCLUSION: Factors influencing career maturity were varied by levels of self-esteem in Korean high school students. Thus, it is necessary to develop different approaches to enhance career maturity according to levels of self-esteem.
Adolescent
;
Anxiety
;
Child
;
Decision Trees
;
Depression
;
Friends
;
Humans
;
Parents
;
Self Concept
;
Statistics as Topic
;
Vocational Guidance
9.Early diagnosis of jaw osteomyelitis by easy digitalized panoramic analysis
Moo Soung PARK ; Mi Young EO ; Hoon MYOUNG ; Soung Min KIM ; Jong Ho LEE
Maxillofacial Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery 2019;41(1):6-
BACKGROUND: Osteomyelitis is an intraosseous inflammatory disease characterized by progressive inflammatory osteoclasia and ossification. The use of quantitative analysis to assist interpretation of osteomyelitis is increasingly being considered. The objective of this study was to perform early diagnosis of osteomyelitis on digital panoramic radiographs using basic functions provided by picture archiving and communication system (PACS), a program used to show radiographic images. METHODS: This study targeted a total of 95 patients whose symptoms were confirmed as osteomyelitis under clinical, radiologic, pathological diagnosis over 11 years from 2008 to 2017. Five categorized patients were osteoradionecrosis, bisphosphonate-related osteonecrosis of jaw (BRONJ, suppurative and sclerosing type), and bacterial osteomyelitis (suppurative and sclerosing type), and the control group was 117 randomly sampled. The photographic density in a certain area of the digital panoramic radiograph was determined and compared using the “measure area rectangle,” one of the basic PACS functions in INFINITT PACS® (INFINITT Healthcare, Seoul, South Korea). A conditional inference tree, one type of decision making tree, was generated with the program R for statistical analysis with SPSS®. RESULTS: In the conditional inference tree generated from the obtained data, cases where the difference in average value exceeded 54.49 and the difference in minimum value was less than 54.49 and greater than 12.81 and the difference in minimum value exceeded 39 were considered suspicious of osteomyelitis. From these results, the disease could be correctly classified with a probability of 88.1%. There was no difference in photographic density value of BRONJ and bacterial osteomyelitis; therefore, it was not possible to classify BRONJ and bacterial osteomyelitis by quantitative analysis of panoramic radiographs based on existing research. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that it is feasible to measure photographic density using a basic function in PACS and apply the data to assist in the diagnosis of osteomyelitis. ELECTRONIC SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL: The online version of this article (10.1186/s40902-019-0188-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
Decision Making
;
Delivery of Health Care
;
Diagnosis
;
Early Diagnosis
;
Humans
;
Jaw
;
Osteomyelitis
;
Osteonecrosis
;
Osteoradionecrosis
;
Seoul
;
Trees
10.Estimating the Health and Economic Outcomes of the Prevention of Mother-to-child Transmission of HIV Using a Decision Tree Model.
Shui Ling QU ; Ai Ling WANG ; Xiao Ping PAN ; Qian WANG ; Li Xia DOU ; Tong ZHANG
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2019;32(1):68-74
Adolescent
;
Adult
;
Child
;
Decision Trees
;
Female
;
HIV Infections
;
economics
;
transmission
;
Humans
;
Infectious Disease Transmission, Vertical
;
economics
;
prevention & control
;
Kenya
;
Middle Aged
;
Mothers
;
South Africa
;
Vietnam
;
Young Adult

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