1.Epidemiological characteristics of gastric cancer in China and worldwide
Weiyan YU ; Xue LI ; Juan ZHU ; Yumeng DING ; Huanqing TAO ; Lingbin DU
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2025;47(6):468-476
Objective:To analyze the epidemiological patterns and temporal trends of gastric cancer incidence and mortality in China and globally, and to formulate evidence-based prevention strategies.Methods:Based on the GLOBOCAN 2022 database, we evaluated gastric cancer incidence and mortality patterns stratified by sex, age group, geographic region and human development index (HDI). Simple linear regression and Spearman's correlation analysis assessed associations between HDI and age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) or age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR). Temporal trends from 2002 to 2020 were described in selected regions, and projections of global gastric cancer burden by 2050 were estimated.Results:In 2022, there were estimated 969 000 new gastric cases and 660 000 deaths worldwide. The burden was higher in men than in women, with incidence peaking at ages 65-69 and mortality at 70-74. ASIR was weakly correlated with HDI ( r=0.261, P<0.001), while no significant association was found between HDI and ASMR ( r=-0.005, P=0.947). China accounted for 359 000 new cases and 260 000 deaths, representing 37.0% and 39.4% of the global totals, respectively. Both ASIR (13.7/10 5) and ASMR (9.4/10 5) in China exceeded the global averages (9.2/10 5 and 6.1/10 5, respectively). Although the overall global burden is decreasing, absolute case numbers are projected to increase by 84.1% (1.78 million cases) and deaths by 91.2% (1.26 million cases) by 2050. High-HDI regions will bear greater absolute burdens, whereas low-HDI regions face steeper relative increases. In China, new cases and deaths are projected to reach 607 000 and 504 000 by 2050, rising by 69.1% and 93.8%, respectively. Conclusions:Despite a declining global trend, the burden of gastric cancer remains substantial, with notable disparities across regions, sex and age groups. Targeted strategies are urgently needed, particularly in East Asia, among males, and older populations, to mitigate the future burden.
2.Clinicopathological features of primary pulmonary epithelioid hemangioendothelioma: a study of 7 cases
Wen LI ; Junkang LI ; Xin ZHENG ; Linlin CHEN ; Yinghong YANG
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2025;47(3):269-274
Objective:The clinicopathological features of pulmonary epithelioid hemangioendothelioma (PEHE) were analyzed to provide guidance for clinical practice.Methods:The clinical manifestations, imaging examination, pathological morphology and molecular characteristics, treatment and prognosis of patients with pulmonary epithelioid hemangioendothelioma were retrospectively collected. All cases were admitted to Fujian Medical University Union Hospital from January 2012 to May 2023.Results:Of 7 PEHE cases, 2 underwent tumor biopsy and 5 underwent tumor resection. There were 4 males and 3 females, with a median age of 58 years old. Six cases showed multiple bilateral nodules, and only one case showed a single lesion in the lower left lung lobe. Five patients presented with respiratory symptoms, like cough, sputum, hemoptysis, shortness of breath. There were round-like solid lesions with clear border and homogeneous density on lung CT. Histologically, it showed nodular growth with a distinctive myxohyaline stroma. Necrosis was seen in the center of some cases. Epithelioid tumor cells were arranged in cords, solid pattern or single cells, with abundant eosinophilic cytoplasm and occasional intracytoplasmic vacuoles. The plasmacytoid nucleus were round to oval in shape with obvious nucleoli, minimal pleomorphism and few mitoses. The tumor cells were positive for vascular endothelial markers: CD31 (7/7), CD34 (5/7), ERG (6/6), and Fli-1 (5/6); CKpan was focally positive in 3 cases (3/7), and TFE3 in 2 cases. Ki-67 index ranged from 5% to 10%. Additionally, the tumor cells partially express PD-L1 in two cases. Moreover, lung carcinoma-related gene detection was negative in one case. The TFE3 break-apart probe in two cases did not display a split signal. In terms of treatment, 4 cases were treated with surgery, 1 case was treated with chemotherapy and surgery, and 2 cases were follow-up observation. After the median 34.4 months follow-up time, one was lost to follow-up, six were survived. Their CT scans showed slight enlargement of pulmonary nodules without other organ metastases.Conclusions:PEHE is a rare vascular-derived tumor, which is usually characterized by multiple solid bilateral nodules with slow growth. It tends to lack specific clinical symptoms, and is prone to be misdiagnosed as a metastatic carcinoma. Diagnosis primarily rely on pathology, with the use of an immunohistochemical package being crucial for definitive and differential diagnosis.
3.Epidemiological characteristics of pancreatic cancer in China and worldwide
Jun WANG ; Lulu DING ; Yongfeng YAN ; Yongsheng CHEN ; Yuanyou XU ; Lingling LU ; Haijian GONG ; Jian ZHU
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2025;47(6):477-484
Objective:To analyze pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality data in China and worldwide and to provide data for pancreatic cancer prevention and control efforts.Methods:Data of pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality rates, along with historical and predictive data, were obtained from the GLOBOCAN 2022 database. Epidemiological characteristics of pancreatic cancer was analyzed by region, sex, age and Human Development Index (HDI). Spearman's correlation coefficient test was used to assess the relationship between HDI and age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR).Results:In 2022, the global number of new cases and deaths of pancreatic cancer will be 511 thousand and 467 thousand, respectively, with an ASIR and ASMR of 4.7/10 5 and 4.2/10 5, respectively. North America and Europe had the highest pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality rates of 8.5/10 5 and 7.3/10 5, respectively. Global ASIR and ASMR in men were both 1.4 times higher than those in women. HDI levels were positively correlated with ASIR ( r=0.79, P<0.001) and ASMR ( r=0.78, P<0.001) of pancreatic cancer in all regions. The number of pancreatic cancer cases and deaths in China were 119 thousand and 106 thousand, respectively, while the ASIR and ASMR of pancreatic cancer were 4.4/10 5 and 3.9/10 5, respectively. Both ASIR and ASMR in men were both 1.5 times higher than those in women in China. The number of pancreatic cancer incidence and death cases in China in 2050 is predicted to be 216 thousand and 204 thousand cases, with an increase of 81.5% and 92.5% compared with 2022, respectively. Conclusions:The disease burden of pancreatic cancer varies significantly among different regions, genders and ages. Pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality are positively correlated with HDI. The incidence and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer in China are close to the global average, but the number of new cases and deaths is high. Prevention and control should be strengthened to improve the survival of pancreatic cancer patients.
4.Clinical significance of molecular classification and hereditary phenotypic characteristics in endometrial carcinoma
Xiaowei WANG ; Jie LIN ; Huang CHEN ; Fang YU ; Honglei ZHANG ; Ye WANG ; Ruiying JIANG ; Bei WANG ; Dingrong ZHONG
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2025;47(1):100-107
Objective:To analyze the clinical significance of molecular classification and hereditary phenotype in endometrial carcinoma (EC) based on high throughput sequencing (NGS).Methods:97 EC samples were collected retrospectively from December 2019 to October 2022 in China-Japan Friendship Hospital. NGS technique was used to analyze the molecular classification, POLE hypermutation, microsatellite high Instability/mismatch repair dysfunction (MSI-H/MMRd), P53 protein abnormality (P53 abn), and non-specific molecular profile (NSMP). Lynch syndrome related genes and BRCA1/2 genes were detected by NGS and their genetic characteristics were analyzed. Results:Of the 97 EC cases, 77 were endometrial adenocarcinoma and 20 were other pathological subtypes. The proportions of the four molecular subtypes were 9.3% (9/97) POLE hypermutation, 16.5% (16/97) MSI-H, 17.5% (17/97) P53 abn and 56.7% (55/97) NSMP, respectively. There were significant differences in age, histological type, lymph node metastasis, pathological stage and other parameters among the four molecular types ( P<0.05). 8.2% (8/97) were multiple molecular typing and four multiple molecular typings detected, including POLEmut-MSI-H, POLEmut-P53abn, MSI-H-P53abn, P53abn-P53abn, which accounted for 1.0% (1/97), 3.1% (3/97), 1.0% (1/97) and 3.1% (3/97), respectively. The consistent rate of MSI-H and MMR protein expression was 92.9% ( Kappa=0.818, P<0.001). The coincidence rate between TP53 gene sequencing and P53 protein expression was 88.9% ( Kappa=0.661, P<0.001). In MSI-H type, 25.0% (4/16) were diagnosed as Lynch syndrome, and 75.0% (12/16) were diagnosed as Lynch like syndrome. 7.2% (7/97) BRCA2 somatic variation was detected, while BRCA1/2 germline variation was not detected in 97 cases. Conclusions:EC molecular classification has feasibility and clinical value. High throughput sequencing can detect low frequency mutations of TP53 gene, suggesting that it can provide more accurate molecular information and more accurate molecular typing effect. It is suggested to further detect Lynch syndrome related genes in patients with MSI-H, so as to carry out genetic management for patients and their families and achieve better therapeutic effect.
5.Status and prospect of esophageal cancer screening
Minjuan LI ; Ru CHEN ; Shaoming WANG ; Wenqiang WEI
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2025;47(1):94-99
Esophageal cancer is one of the global public health problems, which is a serious threat to life and health. Screening is not only an important main measures to reduce the incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer, but also an effective strategy for early prevention and early treatment. There are significant differences in the screening status of esophageal adenocarcinoma and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma cancer between China and abroad. Internationally, there are several guidelines for screening and monitoring of Barrett's esophagus and esophageal adenocarcinoma, but most guidelines do not recommend screening in the general population. The primary screening by sponge ball then endoscopic diagnosis is a new focus. In China, the screening of esophageal cancer and its precancerous lesions is mainly esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, which has been relatively mature and gradually transformed from population screening to opportunistic screening. However, due to the high cost, high technical difficulty and certain invasiveness, it is difficult to popularize and be applied widely; and the canceration rate of precancerous lesions is low, so it is very important to control the cost of screening and scientific follow-up. Moreover, high-risk population should raise their awareness of cancer prevention, actively take primary prevention and the initiative to participate in screening. About medicine institutions, it is urgent to improve the awareness and capacity of early screening. The multi-disciplinary research cooperation, minimally invasive, simple and economical screening methods and multi-omics biomarkers are still explored to detect and concentrate high-risk populations, which will help to optimize screening programs of esophageal cancer and further reduce the incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer.
6.Clinicopathological features and prognosis of rectal neuroendocrine tumor with grade 2
Zhenkai LUO ; Qi ZHANG ; Xiaoting MA ; Renshen XIANG ; Shuaibing LU ; Deyang KONG ; Yu SUN ; Yingying FENG ; Wei PEI ; Lin FENG ; Yuelu ZHU ; Lin YANG ; Haizeng ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2025;47(1):108-117
Objective:To explore the clinicopathological features of rectal neuroendocrine tumor (R-NET) G2, identify prognostic factors, and summarize treatment experience.Methods:The clinical data of patients diagnosed with R-NET G2 by pathological diagnosis admitted to Cancer Hospital of the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences from January 2003 to September 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. The Fisher's exact test and Kaplan-Meier curves were performed to analyze the association between pathological features and prognosis.Results:A total of 22 patients were enrolled in this study and 21 patients were followed up for a period of 6-98 months with a median follow-up time of 42 months. 5 patients died due to tumor progression during the follow-up period. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) of the whole group were 100.0%, 92.9%, and 69.6%, respectively. Of the 22 patients, 20 underwent surgical treatment, of which 15 underwent postoperative adjuvant therapy; 2 underwent medical treatment for liver and bone multiple metastases. The 5-year survival rates of patients with tumours ≥2 cm in length, T2-3 stage, lymph node metastasis, and distant metastasis (57.1%, 68.8%, 66.7%, and 63.6%, respectively) were shorter than those of patients with tumours <2 cm in length, T1 stage, no lymph node metastasis, and no distant metastasis (all 100.0%, P<0.001). In addition, patients with liver metastases had larger primary tumor diameters and higher T-stages compared with those without distant metastasis ( P<0.05). Conclusions:R-NET G2 has a high degree of malignancy compared with G1 and a high propensity for metastasis. Clinicians should formulate appropriate diagnostic and treatment strategies based on factors such as tumor size, depth of invasion, lymph node status, presence of distant metastasis, and the location and extent of distant metastasis.
7.Epidemiological characteristics of incidence rate for breast cancer in Qidong City, 1972—2021
Yongsheng CHEN ; Shanshan CHEN ; Jun WANG ; Jian ZHU
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2025;47(2):129-135
Objective:To describe the epidemiological characteristics of breast cancer incidence in Qidong City between 1972 and 2021, and provide guidelines for preventive and control measures and strategies.Methods:The cancer registry data were collected and breast cancer incidences during 1972 and 2021 in Qidong by sex, age, and time were analyzed. Crude incidence rate (CR), China age-standardized rate (ASRC), world age-standardized rate (ASRW), annual percentage change (APC), and average annual percentage change (AAPC) were calculated by Joinpoint software. The age-period-cohort model was used to analyze the influence of age, period, and birth cohort on the changes in the incidence trend of breast cancer.Results:From 1972 to 2021, there were 6 929 patients with breast cancer in Qidong, accounting for 4.70% of all new cancer cases, with a CR of 12.35/10 5, a ASRC of 6.63/10 5, and a ASRW of 8.89/10 5. The truncated incidence rate among people aged 35-64 years was 21.90/10 5. The cumulative incidence rate of the ages between 0 and 74 years was 0.96%. The cumulative risk was 0.96%. There were 98 male patients, whose CR, ASRC, and ASRW were 0.35/10 5, 0.17/10 5, and 0.25/10 5, respectively. The number of female patients was 6 831, and the CR, ASRC, and ASRW were 24.02/10 5, 12.86/10 5, and 17.13/10 5, respectively. The AAPC of ASRW of female breast cancer was 3.45% (95% CI: 2.90%-4.01%). The increasing trend of the incidence rate was statistically significant ( P<0.05). The AAPCs of females aged 25-34, 35-44, 45-54, 55-64, 65-74, and ≥75 years were 2.78% (95% CI: 0.88%-4.72%), 2.20% (95% CI: 0.83%-3.60%), 3.81% (95% CI: 2.45%-5.19%), 4.48% (95% CI: 3.12%-5.85%), 3.79% (95% CI: 2.19%-5.43%), and 2.87% (95% CI: 1.14%-4.63%). The increasing trends of the incidence rates in all age groups were statistically significant ( P<0.05). The age-period-cohort model showed that the risk of breast cancer increased with age, and people born later were faced with a higher risk of the disease ( P<0.05). Conclusion:The incidence of breast cancer presented a rising trend in the past fifty years in Qidong. The increasing trend of the incidence rate was statistically significant since the beginning of this century. The health administrative department should formulate preventive and control measures to reduce the burden of breast cancer.
8.Cancer incidence, mortality and trends among elderly in Hebei province, 2011-2020
Yanyu LIU ; Daojuan LI ; Siqi WU ; Shuo ZHANG ; Yanfang FU ; Yutong HE
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2025;47(3):228-236
Objective:With the aggravation of population aging, the burden of malignant tumors in the elderly population is becoming more and more heavy. This study aims to analyze the incidence and mortality of malignant tumors in the elderly population in Hebei Province in the past decade.Methods:The incidence and mortality data of malignant tumors in people aged ≥60 years old in 38 cancer registration areas in Hebei Province from 2011 to 2020 were collected, and the incidence and mortality were analyzed by gender, urban and rural areas, and age groups. The age standardized rates were calculated using the 2000 Chinese population census and Segi′s world population. The trend of incidence and mortality was analyzed using the Joinpoint model and the average annual percent change (AAPC).Results:From 2011 to 2020, 216 200 new cases of malignant tumors were reported in the elderly population in the cancer registration areas of Hebei Province, and 170 700 deaths were reported. The peak ages of incident cases number for males and females were 65-69 years old and 60-64 years old, respectively. The crude incidence rate of malignant tumors in the elderly was 905.42/10 5, and the crude mortality rate was 714.96/10 5. In general, the incidence and mortality in rural areas were higher than those in urban areas, and the incidence and mortality in males were higher than those in females. The peak ages of incidence and mortality were 80-84 years old and 85+ years old, respectively. From 2011 to 2020, lung cancer, gastric cancer, esophageal cancer, female breast cancer, and colorectal cancer were the main malignant tumors of incidence rate in the elderly population in Hebei Province, and lung cancer, gastric cancer, liver cancer, esophageal cancer, and colorectal cancer were the main malignant tumors in the mortality rate. From 2011 to 2020, the incidence and mortality of malignant tumors in the elderly population in Hebei Province showed a decreasing trend, and AAPC for the age-standardized incidence and mortality were -4.69% and -5.53%, respectively. The rank of incidence and mortality rate of each cancer had changed, but the top two were still lung cancer and stomach cancer. Conclusions:The incidence and mortality of cancer in the elderly population in Hebei province have decreased, but the burden is still heavy. Lung cancer and stomach cancer are still the focus of prevention and treatment in the elderly population in Hebei province.
9.Artemin promotes proliferation and invasion of malignant peripheral nerve sheath tumor cells through the PI3K/Akt pathway
Hongliang ZHANG ; Haotian LIU ; Junyang LIU ; Chao ZHANG ; Ting LI ; Zhichao LIAO ; Yancheng LIU ; Jingyu ZHANG ; Kai ZHU ; Shuang LI ; Jinwei LIU ; Jilong YANG
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2025;47(2):149-159
Objective:To investigate the expression of Artemin (ARTN) in malignant peripheral nerve sheath tumor (MPNST), its effect on the malignant behavior of MPNST cells, and its signaling pathway.Methods:Fifty-one MPNST paraffin embedded tissues through surgical resection at Tianjin Medical University Cancer Hospital from January 1995 to November 2011 were collected, the expression of the ARTN protein was detected by immunohistochemistry, and the relationship between the ARTN protein expression and the clinical pathological characteristics and prognosis were analyzed. In human MPNST cell lines ST-8814 (NF-1) and STS26T(sporadic), ARTN overexpression and low expression cell lines were constructed by transfecting ARTN overexpression plasmids and ARTN small interfering RNA (siRNA), respectively. The expression of ARTN mRNA was detected by real time quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR), the expression of the ARTN protein and Phosphoinositide 3-kinase(PI3K)/Akt signaling pathway related proteins were detected by Western blot. CCK-8 assay was used to detect cell proliferation ability, and cell invasion assay was used to detect cell invasion ability. The pathway proteins that interacted with ARTN were searched in the STRING database, and the functional pathways were clarified by Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) enrichment analysis. The PI3K/Akt pathway specific inhibitor LY294002 was used to block the PI3K/Akt pathway of ST-8814 and STS26T cells to observe the changes in cell proliferation and invasion.Results:Among the 51 MPNST tissue specimens, 22 cases showed a high expression of the ARTN protein and 29 cases showed a low expression of the protein. Higher expressions of the ARTN protein was associated with larger tumor diameters and disease progression (recurrence or metastasis) (both P<0.05). The median disease-free survival (DFS) of patients with a low expression of the ARTN protein was 26.2 months, and the median overall survival (OS) was 66.9 months. The median DFS and median OS of patients with a high expression of the ARTN protein were 10.7 months and 53.8 months, respectively. The log rank test results showed that the progression free survival rate of patients with a high expression of the ARTN protein was worse than that of patients with a low expression ( P=0.027), but the difference in overall survival rate between the two groups was not statistically significant ( P=0.790), which was also confirmed by Cox regression analysis. The CCK-8 assay results showed that after 48 hours of transfection, the absorbance ( A) values of ST-8814 and STS26T cells in the ARTN overexpression group were 1.35±0.01 and 1.10±0.02, respectively, which were higher than those in the empty plasmid control group (1.05±0.01 and 0.78±0.01, both P<0.01), while the A values of ST-8814 and STS26T cells in the ARTN siRNA group were 0.35±0.01 and 0.61±0.01, respectively, which were lower than those in the control siRNA group (0.74±0.01 and 1.10±0.04, both P<0.01). The results of cell invasion assay showed that the number of transmembrane cells in ST-8814 and STS26T cells overexpressing ARTN was (29.67±2.08) and (31.67±2.08), respectively, which were higher than those in the empty plasmid control group [(20.00±1.00) and (24.33±1.15), both P<0.01]. The number of transmembrane cells in ST-8814 and STS26T cells in the ARTN siRNA group were (14.00±2.00) and (19.33±1.53), respectively, which were lower than those in the control siRNA group [(19.33±2.52) and (23.33±0.58), both P<0.05].The KEGG results showed that ARTN is associated with multiple tumor signaling pathways, especially the PI3K/Akt signaling pathway. Western blot results showed that overexpression of ARTN upregulated the expression of p-PI3K and p-Akt proteins in ST-8814 and STS26T cells (both P<0.01).After knocking down ARTN expression, the expression of p-PI3K and p-Akt proteins was significantly down regulated (both P<0.01). LY294002 could significantly inhibit the effect of ARTN overexpression on ST-8814 and STS26T cells after blocking the PI3K/Akt pathway. The A values of ST-8814 and STS26T cells in the ARTN overexpression+LY294002 group were 1.09±0.06 and 0.82±0.01, respectively, which were lower than those in the ARTN overexpression group (1.50±0.01 and 1.29±0.01, respectively, both P<0.01). The numbers of transmembrane cells in the cell invasion assay were 16.67±3.21 and 19.67±2.31, respectively, which were also lower than those in the ARTN overexpression group (29.67±2.08 and 31.67±2.08, respectively, both P<0.01). Conclusions:In MPNST, a high expression of the ARTN protein was associated with larger tumor size, disease progression, and worse DFS. ARTN promotes the proliferation and invasion of MPNST cells through the PI3K/Akt signaling pathway.
10.Dosimetric factor analysis of the incidence of post-radiotherapy pneumonia after partial resection of laryngeal cancer and construction of a risk prediction nomogram model
Rong HUANG ; Xiaoxu LU ; Xueming SUN ; Jiaqi HE ; Hui WU
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2025;47(2):160-167
Objective:To explore the influencing factors for pneumonia occurrence within three months in patients undergoing partial laryngectomy combined with radiotherapy, and to construct a nomogram prediction model for the risk of pneumonia occurrence.Methods:A total of 165 patients with laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma who underwent partial laryngectomy combined with postoperative radiotherapy in the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University from 2017 to 2023 were divided into three groups: a group without pneumonia, a low risk pneumonia group, and a medium to high risk pneumonia group according to the occurrence of pneumonia. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the optimal cutoff values of the mean dose to the larynx (Larynx-Dmean) and the mean dose to the pharyngeal constrictor muscles (PCM-Dmean) for predicting the occurrence of pneumonia. Logistic regression analysis was used to screen out the influencing factors of pneumonia within three months after partial laryngectomy combined with radiotherapy, and a nomogram prediction model was constructed.Results:Among the 165 patients, 59 were in the group without pneumonia, 60 were in the group with a low risk of pneumonia, and 46 were in the group with a medium to high risk of pneumonia. The overall incidence of pneumonia was 64.2% (106/165). ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of the Larynx-Dmean for predicting the occurrence of pneumonia was 0.876, and the optimal cutoff value was 60.8 Gy. When the Larynx-Dmean was >60.8 Gy, the incidence of pneumonia was 96.7%. The AUC of the PCM-Dmean for predicting the occurrence of pneumonia was 0.747, and the optimal cutoff value was 54.6 Gy. When the PCM-Dmean was >54.6 Gy, the incidence of pneumonia was 74.7%. The AUC of the Larynx-Dmean for predicting the occurrence of medium to high risk pneumonia was 0.987, and the optimal cutoff value was 68.2 Gy. When the Larynx-Dmean was >68.2 Gy, the incidence of medium to high risk pneumonia was 100.0%. The AUC of the PCM-Dmean for predicting the occurrence of medium to high risk pneumonia was 0.850, and the optimal cutoff value was 58.7 Gy. When the PCM-Dmean was >58.7 Gy, the incidence of medium to high risk pneumonia was 85.2%. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the incidence of pneumonia was higher in patients with a history of smoking ( OR=1.54, 95% CI: 1.02-1.74), a higher smoking index ( OR=2.43, 95% CI: 1.16-7.59), a higher Larynx-Dmean ( OR=3.79, 95% CI: 1.25-6.49), and a higher PCM-Dmean ( OR=2.44, 95% CI: 1.53-3.16). A nomogram prediction model for the risk of pneumonia and medium to high risk pneumonia within three months after partial laryngectomy combined with radiotherapy was successfully constructed, with C indices of 0.78 and 0.98, respectively, which had good predictive performance and clinical efficacy. Conclusions:When the Larynx-Dmean was >60.8 Gy and the PCM-Dmean was >54.6 Gy for postoperative radiotherapy after partial laryngectomy, the possibility of pneumonia occurrence in patients within three months increased significantly. Smoking history, smoking index, Larynx-Dmean, and PCM-Dmean were independent influencing factors for the occurrence of pneumonia. The nomogram prediction model constructed based on this can guide clinicians to take intervention measures to prevent the occurrence of pneumonia in patients with laryngeal cancer.

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