1.Impact of premature deaths from malignant tumors on life expectancy among Chinese residents, 1990-2021
Xinyi LIAO ; Yuchang ZHOU ; Jiangmei LIU ; Yunning LIU ; Maigeng ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(1):87-94
Objective:To analyze premature deaths from malignant tumors among Chinese residents from 1990 to 2021, and to quantify the extent to which changes in premature mortality from malignant tumors affect life expectancy among people aged 30 to 69 years.Methods:Using the Global Burden of Disease 2021 data on selected causes of death in China, the malignant tumor mortality rate was estimated for Chinese residents aged 30-69 years from 1990 to 2021, and life expectancy and de-malignant cause-of-death life expectancy were calculated based on the abridged life table for the Chinese population. Arriaga's decomposition method was used to assess the extent to which changes in malignant tumors mortality contributed to changes in life expectancy for people aged 30-69 years and Potential gains in life expectancy (PGLEs) for people aged 30- 69 years.Results:From 1990 to 2021, the standardized mortality rate of malignant tumors among Chinese people aged 30-69 years decreased from 154.29/100 000 to 98.58/100 000, and the change in the mortality rate of malignant tumors among people aged 30-69 years contributed to the increase of life expectancy of about 0.78 years, and the largest contribution was made by the age group aged 55-59 years, which was about 0.17 years. Among the top 10 malignant tumors, the largest "positive contributions" are stomach cancer, esophageal cancer, and liver cancer, with a cumulative contribution of 0.55 years, while pancreatic cancer hurts the increase of overall life expectancy. The PGLEs of malignant tumors for the population aged 30-69 years will be 1.69 years in 2021, which is higher for men (1.97 years) than for women (1.32 years). The top 5 malignant tumors causing loss of life expectancy in the population were tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer, stomach cancer, esophageal cancer, colorectal cancer, and liver cancer, in that order. Compared with 1990, in 2021, PGLEs for malignant tumors among people aged 30-69 years increased in seven provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities), including Yunnan and Guizhou, and the rest saw a decline, with the largest decrease in Anhui Province.Conclusions:The standardized mortality rate of malignant tumors among Chinese residents aged 30-69 years declined from 1990 to 2021;the change in mortality rate of malignant tumors showed a positive effect on the growth of life expectancy, the change in PGLEs of malignant tumors varied among provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities), and premature deaths from tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer and gastrointestinal malignant tumors still need to be paid attention to.
2.Adiposity-related anthropometric parameters, indoles and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in Chinese adults: a prospective cohort study
Jiahui SI ; Si CHENG ; Canqing YU ; Dianjianyi SUN ; Yuanjie PANG ; Pei PEI ; Huaidong DU ; Junshi CHEN ; Zhengming CHEN ; Liming LI ; Jun LYU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(1):65-72
Objective:To investigate the relationship of several adiposity-related anthropometric parameters, including BMI, waist circumference (WC), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), body fat percentage (BFP) and indoles in plasma with the incidence of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) in adults in China.Methods:In China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) study, blood samples were collected from 2 183 participants in the first resurvey in 2008 to detect indoles. Participants' body weight, body height, WC, hip circumference, and BFP were measured at baseline survey in 2004 and resurvey in 2008, the BMI and WHR were calculated with standardized methods. The long-term follow-up of all participants started from the completion of the resurvey in 2008 until the occurrence of incident ASCVD, death, loss to follow-up or until December 31, 2018. CKB ascertained outcome status (incident ASCVD) through death and disease registries and national health insurance databases, supplemented by active follow-up. Multivariate linear regression model was used to estimate the associations of anthropometric measurements at baseline survey and the first resurvey, and changes in these measurements with 3 indoles [indole, indole-3-acetic acid (IAA), and indole-3-propionic acid (IPA)]. Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to estimate the associations between indoles and the risk for ASCVD.Results:Anthropometric measurements at baseline survey or the first resurvey were negatively associated with plasma IPA level. The regression coefficient ( β) of baseline BMI (per 1.0 kg/m 2) with 0.1 standard deviation ( SD) IPA was -0.23 (95% CI: -0.36 - -0.10) (false discovery rate=0.004). After adjusting for baseline BMI, the β of baseline WC, WHR and BFP with 0.1 SD IPA were -0.09 (95% CI: -0.18 - -0.01), -0.12 (95% CI: -0.19 - -0.05), and -0.20 (95% CI: -0.32 - -0.08), respectively. The annual change in BMI (difference between BMI in 2008 and 2004 divided by the time interval) was associated with indole and IAA, with β of 1.40 (95% CI: 0.58 - 2.21) and -1.07 (95% CI: -1.91 - -0.23), respectively, at each 0.1 increase of SD. Over a median ( Q1, Q3) follow-up of 10.46 (10.36, 10.53) years after 2008 resurvey, 236 cases of ASCVD were recorded. IAA and IPA levels were negatively associated with the risk for ASCVD, with hazard ratios for one SD increase of IAA and IPA of 0.87 (95% CI: 0.76 - 0.99) and 0.84 (95% CI: 0.73 - 0.96), respectively. Conclusions:Our results suggested that anthropometric measurements and their changing trends affect the levels of plasma imicrobial tryptophan metabolite levels, decreased levels of IAA and IPA levels are associated with increased risk of ASCVD and indoles in plasma including IPA and IAA might be the mediating factors for adiposity-induced ASCVD.
3.Current situation of e-cigarettes and its relationship with smoking and smoking cessation among residents aged 18-65 in Beijing
Bo JIANG ; Aijuan MA ; Jin XIE ; Chen XIE ; Xueyu HAN ; Li NIE ; Yingqi WEI ; Kai FANG ; Jing DONG ; Yue ZHAO ; Zhong DONG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(4):638-645
Objective:To understand the usage situation of e-cigarettes among residents aged 18-65 in Beijing, explore the relationship between e-cigarette use and cigarette smoking as well as smoking cessation behaviors, and provide scientific support for the developing and improving policies and measures related to e-cigarettes.Methods:Using 19 684 residents data from the Beijing Non-communication Chronic Disease and Risk Factors Surveillance in 2022, complex sampling weighted methods were used to estimate proportions, and complex sampling logistic regression analysis was applied to explore the relationship between e-cigarette use, cigarette smoking, and smoking cessation.Results:Among all study participants, the proportion of those who had ever used e-cigarettes was 3.36%, with the current e-cigarette use at 1.26%. The proportion of current e-cigarette users (1.87%) and the former e-cigarette users (3.47%) were higher ( χ2=64.70, P<0.001) among males compared to females (0.60% and 0.64% respectively). The top three reasons for using e-cigarettes were wanting to quit smoking, perceiving e-cigarettes as less harmful, and enjoying the flavors of e-cigarettes. 83.54% of e-cigarette users started with cigarettes. The results of the complex sampling multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that current smoking ( OR=61.35, 95% CI: 36.98-101.76) and former smoking ( OR=31.20, 95% CI: 15.52-62.71) were positively associated with e-cigarette, while current e-cigarette use ( OR=0.13, 95% CI: 0.04-0.39) was negatively associated with quitting cigarette smoking. Conclusions:The proportion of e-cigarette use in Beijing was relatively low. E-cigarette use was associated with cigarette use and was not conducive to smoking cessation. Therefore, stronger regulatory measures and health education campaigns regarding the risks of e-cigarettes should be implemented.
4.Prevalence of dyslipidemia and influencing factors in HIV-infected people before starting antiretroviral therapy in China, 2018-2023
Hanlu JIA ; Lai WEI ; Yunxia GENG ; Xiumin GAN ; Decai ZHAO ; Yan ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(1):95-100
Objective:To investigate the prevalence of baseline dyslipidemia in HIV-infected people before starting antiviral therapy (ART) in China.Methods:The data were collected from HIV/AIDS ART database of Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System. A national sample of HIV- infected people who initiated ART from 2018 to 2023 was used to collect baseline information, including sociodemographic characteristics and laboratory test results. According to the Chinese Lipid Management Guidelines (2023) and the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel Ⅲ guidelines, triglyceride (TG) ≥1.7 mmol/L or total cholesterol (TC) ≥5.2 mmol/L were identified as dyslipidemia. Statistical analysis was performed with software SAS 9.4. An unconditional logistic regression model was used to analyze the factors influencing TG and TC abnormalities in HIV-infected patients before ART.Results:A total of 359 952 adults infected with HIV were included in this study, the prevalence rate of dyslipidemia was 38.41% (138 263/359 952). The abnormal rates of TG and TC were 31.40% (113 041/359 952) and 13.75% (49 494/359 952), respectively. In all age groups except for the 25-44 age groups, the abnormal rates of TG and TC were higher in HIV-infected women than in HIV-infected men. In HIV-infected patients, women, those aged 45-64 years, those lived in northeast region, those had heterosexual transmission, and those with BMI ≥28.0 kg/m 2, CD4 +T lymphocytes counts ≥500 cells/μl had higher rates of baseline dyslipidemia (all P<0.05). Conclusions:The abnormal rate of TG in HIV-infected people before ART was higher in China from 2018 to 2023, especially in HIV-infected women, and the abnormal rate of TG and TC increased with age. Attention should be paid to the clinical diagnosis and ART selection in the treatment of HIV infection.
5.Growing global public health challenges
Chunxiao LIAO ; Bo WANG ; Jun LYU ; Liming LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(1):1-8
Global public health is currently undergoing unprecedented and complex changes. The COVID-19 pandemic has exposed vulnerabilities and weaknesses of the global health system, urging nations globally to prioritize pandemic prevention and response strategies. Simultaneously, emerging infectious diseases such as mpox and avian influenza, as well as re-emerging infectious diseases including tuberculosis, AIDS, and viral hepatitis, continue to pose threats to global public health security. Moreover, the prevalence of chronic diseases remains significant, while concerns pertaining to environmental health and the well-being of children and adolescents are growing increasingly prominent. Addressing these challenges requires the formulation of effective public health policies, strengthened international cooperation, enhanced health education, improved public health literacy, and the establishment of a more resilient global public health system.
6.Study of construction of index system for evaluation of response capanility for public health risk in mass gathering
Fan DING ; Kai QU ; Qi WANG ; Lianmei JIN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(3):527-532
Objective:To construct an index system for the systematic evalaution of response capabiity for public health risk in mass gathgering and improvemet of preparedness and level of public health risk response.Methods:Based on the theory of health emergency management and the public health practice to support domestic and international mass events, the theoretical framework was constructed. Authoritative experts in relevant fields were invited to conduct multiple rounds of expert consultation for the construction of an evaluation index system, with Delphi method.Results:In this study, 12 authoritative experts in relevant professional fields were selected to participate in the survey, with an expert response rate of 100.0% and an average authority coefficient of 0.89. The final Kendall's W coefficient was 0.408 for the second-level indicators, and 0.416 for the third-level indicators (all P<0.001). Finally, an evaluation index system consisting of 4 first-level indicators (surveillance, risk assessment, laboratory support and response), 15 second-level indicators, and 75 third-level indicators was constructed. Conclusion:The evaluation index system constructed in this study can provide a reference for evaluation of the response capability for the public health risk in mass gathering.
7.Temporal trends and attributable risk factors of chronic kidney disease burden in Fujian Province, 1990-2019
Xiuquan LIN ; Xiaoru LIN ; Chenglin YANG ; Xinyu WANG ; Jiang OUYANG ; Qing GUAN ; Shaofen HUANG ; Yanrong YIN ; Dong LIANG ; Wenling ZHONG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(1):57-64
Objective:To understand the burden of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and its risk factors in Fujian Province during 1990-2019.Methods:Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, the incidence rate, mortality rate and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of CKD in Fujian from 1990 to 2019 were calculated. An age-period-cohort model was used to estimate the effects of age, period, and cohort on age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), and age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR) of CKD. Comparative risk assessment theory was used to calculate the potential attributable DALYs due to risk factors.Results:In 2019, the ASIR of CKD in Fujian exceeded the national average. The ASIR of CKD showed an increasing trend from 1990 to 2019, but the ASMR and ASDR of CKD exhibited decreasing trends during the same period. In 2019, the ASIR of CKD was higher in women than in men, while the ASMR and ASDR were higher in men than in women. Age-period-cohort analysis indicated that ASIR, ASMR, and ASDR of CKD increased with age. The period effect for ASIR decreased first before increase, while the period effect for ASMR and ASDR displayed fluctuating trends. The cohort effect showed an upward trajectory for ASIR, but a stable status before downward trajectories for ASMR and ASDR. Compared with 1990, except the increase in the ASDR of CKD attributed to high BMI and high temperatures, the ASDR of CKD attributed to other risk factors all showed decreases in 2019. However, the ASDR attributed to high sodium intake remained higher compared with the global average.Conclusion:The burden of CKD remains heavy in Fujian, and it is necessary to reduce the attributable risk factors, such as high sodium intake and high BMI, to address this problem.
8.Association between hypertension duration and chronic kidney disease in residents in China
Xiao ZHANG ; Mei ZHANG ; Chun LI ; Mengting YU ; Limin WANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(1):26-32
Objective:To evaluate the association between hypertension duration and risk for chronic kidney disease in residents in China.Methods:Participants aged 18-74 years from the sixth round of China Chronic Disease and Risk Factor Surveillance in 2018 were included. The age/date at hypertension diagnosis was reported by them, and hypertension duration was calculated based on the age at diagnosis and the age at survey. The hypertension duration was calculated as 0 year (i.e., normotensive participants), 0.1- year, 5.0- years, 10.0- years, and ≥15.0 years. Serum creatinine, urinary albumin, and urinary creatinine levels were measured, and chronic kidney disease was diagnosed when glomerular filtration rate was <60 ml·min -1·(1.73 m 2) -1 and/or urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio was ≥30 mg/g. Multivariable logistic regression analysis, which took intra-group correlation into account, was used to evaluate the association of hypertension duration with chronic kidney disease. Results:A total of 140 662 residents were finally included in the analysis. After adjusting the confounders, including blood pressure, the odds ratio of chronic kidney disease was 1.16 (95% CI: 1.09-1.23), 1.33 (95% CI: 1.20-1.48), 1.33 (95% CI: 1.18-1.49), and 1.43 (95% CI: 1.29-1.60) in study subjects with hypertension durations of 0.1-4.9 years, 5.0-9.9 years, 10.0-14.9 years, and ≥15.0 years, respectively, in comparison with normotensive people. This result was further supported by the positive association between hypertension duration and chronic kidney disease in people with previously diagnosed hypertension. The results of restricted cubic spline suggested that the risk for chronic kidney disease showed a steep increase within 0.1- 4.9 years after hypertension diagnosis, then showed neither increase nor decrease. The above association seemed to be stronger in those with hypertension diagnosed age <45 years. Compared with those with hypertension duration of 0.1-4.9 years, the odds ratio was 1.38 (95% CI: 1.04-1.84), 1.22 (95% CI: 0.91-1.65), and 1.47 (95% CI: 1.04-2.07) in those with hypertension durations of 5.0-9.9 years, 10.0-14.9 years, and ≥15.0 year, respectively. In those with hypertension diagnosis at ≥45 years, the corresponding odds ratio was 1.08 (95% CI: 0.98-1.19), 1.08 (95% CI: 0.97-1.21), and 1.16 (95% CI: 1.02-1.32), respectively. Conclusions:Hypertension duration is positively associated with the risk for chronic kidney disease in residents in China, and this association is independent of blood pressure level. Early diagnosis of hypertension and long-term control of blood pressure are effective strategies for secondary prevention of hypertension-related chronic kidney disease.
9.Prevalence of chronic kidney disease and risk factors in adults with hypertension in China
Yanmei CHEN ; Zhenping ZHAO ; Mei ZHANG ; Xiao ZHANG ; Chun LI ; Mengting YU ; Limin WANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(1):33-42
Objective:To understand the prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and influencing factors in adults with hypertension in China and provide evidence for the management of CKD in hypertension patients.Methods:The prevalence data of CKD in hypertension patients in China were collected from China Chronic Disease and Risk Factor Surveillance in 2018, the data of 68 829 hypertension patients were analyzed. After complex weighting, the prevalence of CKD in the study population was compared. A multivariate logistic regression model was used to explore the influencing factors of CKD in adults with hypertension.Results:The prevalence of CKD in the hypertension patients was 18.2% (95% CI: 17.4%-19.0%) and increased with age, and the prevalence was 16.4% in men and 20.6% in women ( P<0.001). In different age groups, CKD at stage G1 mainly occurred in those aged 18-44 and 45-59 years, with the prevalence of 10.8% and 7.8%, respectively, while CKD at stages G2 and G3a mainly occurred in those aged >60 years, with the prevalence of 9.4% and 9.7%. Multivariate logistic regression results showed that in the hypertension patients, being aged ≥60 years, being women, smoking (including current and ever smoking), physical inactivity, being underweight or obese, and suffering from diabetes, dyslipidemia and hyperuricemia were the potential risk factors for CKD (all P<0.05). Conclusion:The prevalence of CKD was higher in people with hypertension than in general population in China, and age, gender, smoking status, physical activity level, and suffering from diabetes, dyslipidemia, and hyperuricemia or not were significant influencing factors. It is necessary to strengthen health education and kidney function testing in adults with hypertension and develop comprehensive CKD prevention and control measures targeting high-risk population.
10.Association between possible sarcopenia and risk for frailty in middle-aged and elderly adults in China: a cohort study
Anqi JIANG ; Yue WEI ; Bo LIANG ; Lijun PEI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(1):81-86
Objective:To assess the association between possible sarcopenia and the risk for frailty in middle-aged and elderly adults in China.Methods:A prospective cohort study design was used in this study. Data were from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study during 2011-2018 and the baseline data in 2011, the follow up was conducted in 2013, 2015 and 2018, respectively. Frailty index was used to evaluate frailty status, and grip strength and repetitive sitting-up time were measured to detect possible sarcopenia. Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to estimate the association between possible sarcopenia and the risk for frailty in middle-aged and older adults.Results:In a 44 884 person-years follow-up, a total of 586 cases with frailty were recorded, and the incidence density of frailty was 13.06 per 1 000 person-year. The risk for frailty was also higher in those who were aged 60 years and above ( HR=2.05, 95% CI: 1.71-2.45), had a primary school education level or below ( HR=1.55, 95% CI: 1.29-1.85), had waist-to-height ratio ≥0.5 ( HR=1.39, 95% CI: 1.11-1.75) and had depression ( HR=1.52, 95% CI: 1.28-1.81). Drinking was associated with reduced risk for frailty ( HR=0.76, 95% CI: 0.62-0.94). The risk for frailty increased ( HR=1.73, 95% CI: 1.47-2.05) in those who might has possible sarcopenia. Conclusions:In middle-aged and elderly adults, those with possible sarcopenia, lower education level, central obesity and depression might be at high risk for frailty, and early interventions for high-risk population can be taken to slow the progression of frailty.

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